Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:35:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D0
0xd0dd…87d1
crypto · 67 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$25 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$20 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Net worth$42
Realized−$20
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses27 / 31
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions9
Markets (closed)58 / 67
History coverage48d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day3.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 9 History 58 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$10
14 days−$10
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner TheMongolz 60¢ 60¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? No 86¢ 88¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 53¢ 52¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 65¢ 64¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Morocco 69¢ 68¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 Under 85¢ 84¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Qatar 69¢ 66¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 50¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Apr 28 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Apr 28 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Apr 28 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Apr 28 $1 $0 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Apr 27 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Apr 27 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Apr 27 $1 −$1 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Apr 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Apr 27 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Apr 27 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Apr 27 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Apr 27 $1 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Apr 27 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Apr 27 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Apr 27 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Apr 27 $1 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Apr 27 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Apr 27 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Apr 26 $2 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Apr 26 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Apr 26 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Apr 26 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Apr 26 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Apr 26 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Apr 26 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Apr 26 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Apr 26 $2 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Apr 26 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Apr 26 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Apr 26 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Apr 26 $2 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Apr 26 $2 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Apr 26 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Apr 26 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Apr 26 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Apr 26 $2 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Apr 26 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Apr 26 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Apr 26 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Apr 26 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Apr 26 $1 −$1 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Apr 26 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Apr 26 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Apr 26 $1 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Apr 26 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Apr 26 $1 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Apr 26 $1 $0 -24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 61% −$10
sports 32% −$15
other 7% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 60¢ $6 7m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 85¢ $5 1h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 50¢ $5 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $5 4h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 65¢ $5 5h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 53¢ $5 5h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY No 86¢ $5 6h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Qatar 69¢ $5 6h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 92¢ $5 6h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Morocco 69¢ $5 7h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 55¢ $5 7h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 BUY Over 51¢ $5 7h
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 46d
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $1 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $0 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $1 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Down $0 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $1 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $0 46d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-18.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -64.0% -67.5% 33% 0% -68.1%
≤30d 3 -64.0% -67.5% 33% 0% -68.1%
≤90d 58 -10.1% -18.6% 47% 33% -27.6%
all 58 -10.1% -18.6% 47% 33% -27.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.6% 33% -27.6%
10% -26.4% 9% -34.6%
15% -33.5% 3% -40.9%
20% -40.0% 0% -46.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $41.52 · official $39.55 · 155 history records