Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:32:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D0
0xd0dd…ec77
crypto · 30 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$82 -34%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$38 · open −$44
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$60
Realized−$38
Unrealized−$44
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses17 / 8
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions5
Markets (closed)25 / 30
History coverage14d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day5.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 25 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$12
14 days−$38
30 days−$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $41 $41 −$1 (-2%)
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 37¢ 12¢ $55 $19 −$36 (-66%)
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 20%+? Yes 3¢ 1¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-58%)
Will Iván Cepeda win between 50% and 55% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election? Yes 15¢ 1¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-94%)
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15-20%? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$6 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +48%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Will Iván Cepeda win more than 55% of votes in the first round of the Jun 04 $10 −$10 -96%
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presid Jun 01 $2 −$2 -96%
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the May 31 $33 −$32 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET May 31 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 64% −$87
crypto 36% +$5
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 73¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-16.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 +9.7% -0.7% 81% 71% +4.0%
≤30d 25 -7.5% -16.3% 68% 60% -35.7%
≤90d 25 -7.5% -16.3% 68% 60% -35.7%
all 25 -7.5% -16.3% 68% 60% -35.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.3% 60% -35.7%
10% -24.3% 36% -41.8%
15% -31.6% 28% -47.5%
20% -38.3% 16% -52.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $60.45 · official $60.45 (match) · 90 history records