Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:29:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D0
0xd0db…75f7
other · 102 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$100 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$100 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$100
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)2%
Wins / losses2 / 99
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)101 / 102
History coverage107d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day2.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 1 History 101 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? No 100¢ 99¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-0%)
Wizards vs. Magic Wizards 11¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Lakers Timberwolves 56¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Mavericks vs. Nuggets Mavericks 16¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Trail Blazers vs. Bulls Bulls 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Mavericks vs. Magic Mavericks 23¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Kings vs. Mavericks Mavericks 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Heat vs. 76ers Heat 45¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Pelicans vs. Lakers Pelicans 24¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Pacers vs. Kings Pacers 42¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Grizzlies vs. 76ers Grizzlies 41¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Pelicans vs. Knicks Pelicans 24¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bulls vs. Spurs Bulls 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 10 $5 $0 -0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 02 $41 $0 -0%
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? May 21 $37 $0 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 20 $62 $0 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 16 $44 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 07 $39 $0 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 06 $58 $0 -0%
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? May 06 $51 $0 -0%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 04 $50 $0 -0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 04 $52 $0 -0%
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election May 03 $55 $0 -0%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 03 $37 $0 -0%
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 02 $37 $0 -0%
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 02 $45 $0 -0%
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? May 02 $96 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 01 $49 $0 -0%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 01 $73 $0 -0%
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? Apr 30 $43 $0 -0%
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 29 $67 $0 -0%
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 29 $41 $0 -0%
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026? Apr 27 $52 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 27 $50 $0 -0%
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 27 $46 $0 -0%
Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 27 $37 $0 -0%
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 26 $42 $0 -0%
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 26 $62 $0 -0%
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026? Apr 26 $41 $0 -0%
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 24 $41 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 24 $52 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April? Apr 22 $56 $0 -0%
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 21 $61 $0 -0%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 21 $48 $0 -0%
Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 20 $41 $0 -0%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 20 $53 $0 -0%
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 20 $67 $0 -0%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina Apr 19 $45 $0 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 m Apr 18 $7 $0 -0%
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 18 $7 $0 -0%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 16 $7 $0 -0%
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 16 $9 $0 -0%
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 15 $8 $0 -0%
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026? Apr 15 $9 $0 -0%
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 14 $19 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on Apr 14 $8 $0 -0%
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? Apr 14 $7 $0 -0%
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 13 $9 $0 -0%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 13 $16 $0 -0%
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? Apr 12 $16 $0 -0%
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 11 $8 $0 -0%
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 10 $7 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 44% −$2
politics 41% −$1
sports 10% −$96
crypto 4% $0
economics 1% $0
world 0% $0
tech 0% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $6 1h
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $5 3d
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $5 11d
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $41 11d
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $41 21d
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $37 23d
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $37 24d
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $53 24d
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $53 27d
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $44 27d
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $44 37d
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $39 37d
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $39 37d
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $50 37d
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $50 38d
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $51 38d
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $51 39d
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 98¢ $50 39d
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 98¢ $50 40d
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $52 40d
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $52 40d
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL No 100¢ $47 41d
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election BUY No 100¢ $47 41d
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $37 41d
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $37 41d
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $37 41d
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $37 42d
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $45 42d
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $45 42d
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? SELL No 100¢ $51 42d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-19.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 5 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 88 -3.6% -12.7% 0% 0% -10.4%
all 101 -11.3% -19.8% 2% 1% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.8% 1% -12.9%
10% -27.5% 1% -21.2%
15% -34.5% 1% -28.9%
20% -40.9% 1% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.00 · official $6.00 (match) · 263 history records