Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:29:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D0
0xd0c5…15e4
other · 44 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$19 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$19 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)21%
Wins / losses9 / 34
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)43 / 44
History coverage616d
Avg bet$78
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit61%
Chart Positions 1 History 43 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 100¢ 100¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $8 $0 -0%
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 07 $10 $0 -0%
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 06 $7 $0 -0%
Will Solana reach $120 in May? Jun 06 $14 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May? Jun 06 $16 $0 +0%
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 28 $10 $0 -0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 27 $10 $0 -0%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 26 $10 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 22 $10 $0 -0%
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels May 22 $10 +$9 +93%
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 21 $10 $0 -0%
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 20 $10 $0 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me May 19 $10 $0 -0%
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? May 18 $45 $0 -0%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers May 18 $4 +$7 +152%
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 13 $39 $0 -0%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers May 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 08 $44 $0 -0%
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 07 $47 $0 -0%
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 30 $47 $0 -0%
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 27 $44 $0 -0%
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 21 $46 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 21 $49 $0 -0%
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? Apr 20 $48 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 19 $46 $0 -0%
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 18 $45 $0 -0%
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 18 $48 $0 -0%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? Apr 11 $22 +$1 +3%
Timberwolves vs. Magic Apr 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Pistons vs. Magic Apr 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets Apr 07 $5 −$5 -100%
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch? Apr 02 $11 $0 +2%
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap Mar 05 $2 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February? Mar 05 $43 $0 +0%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? Feb 09 $40 +$3 +8%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 11 $2 $0 -1%
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? Oct 08 $42 −$1 -2%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? Apr 18 $11 $0 -2%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? Mar 26 $35 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? Jan 10 $250 −$1 -0%
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? Oct 31 $260 −$2 -1%
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Oct 28 $1,140 −$2 -0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Oct 27 $823 −$2 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 76% −$7
other 12% $0
sports 5% −$16
crypto 2% $0
world 2% $0
culture 1% $0
tech 1% +$3
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $11 1h
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $8 30h
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $8 37h
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $10 6d
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 6d
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $7 7d
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $7 7d
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $10 16d
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $10 16d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $10 17d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $10 17d
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $10 18d
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $10 18d
Will Solana reach $120 in May? BUY No 100¢ $14 18d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $10 22d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $10 22d
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $10 23d
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $10 23d
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Athletics 51¢ $10 23d
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $10 24d
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $10 24d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $10 24d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $10 25d
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May? BUY No 99¢ $16 25d
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $45 26d
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $45 26d
Pistons vs. Cavaliers BUY Pistons 39¢ $4 29d
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $39 31d
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $39 31d
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers BUY Texas Rangers 56¢ $5 33d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 15 +16.3% +5.2% 27% 13% -1.8%
≤90d 32 -4.8% -13.8% 19% 6% -11.2%
all 43 -3.5% -12.7% 21% 5% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.7% 5% -10.0%
10% -21.1% 5% -18.6%
15% -28.7% 5% -26.5%
20% -35.7% 5% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.34 · official $11.34 (match) · 261 history records