Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:26:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D0
0xd0c3…dde1
sports · 508 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$136 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$151 · open −$15
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized+$151
Unrealized−$15
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses180 / 306
Est. fees paid−$103
Open positions7
Markets (closed)486 / 508
History coverage133d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day10.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 7 History 486 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$25
7 days+$59
14 days+$76
30 days−$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 Over 15¢ 8¢ $16 $9 −$7 (-44%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 5¢ 1¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-74%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5 Over 9¢ 2¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-74%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes 12¢ 1¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-94%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Over 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-95%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 Under 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-98%)
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-02? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
US Lecce vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Under 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5 Under 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5 Under 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? No 8¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Levante UD vs. Getafe CF end in a draw? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5 Over 46¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Over 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5 Over 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto end in a draw? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-05-10? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer Yes 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $3 +$4 +136%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $30 +$6 +20%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 +$2 +48%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 AND Will Korea Republic win on 202 Jun 12 $1 +$3 +250%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 12 $5 +$12 +236%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -92%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $2 +$6 +303%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 +$4 +123%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $11 +$4 +37%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $6 −$6 -97%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $102 +$51 +50%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $1 +$16 +1521%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $3 +$8 +274%
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5 Jun 04 $10 +$9 +92%
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5 Jun 04 $15 −$15 -98%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $9 −$9 -98%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $49 −$48 -98%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5 May 30 $8 −$8 -97%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5 May 30 $11 −$11 -97%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 May 30 $5 −$5 -98%
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) May 30 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $3 +$13 +410%
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? May 23 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $18 +$10 +53%
Will Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? May 23 $13 −$8 -61%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $2 −$2 -97%
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5 May 23 $51 +$12 +23%
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD end in a draw? May 23 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $1 −$1 -97%
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18? May 18 $1 −$1 -97%
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5 May 17 $81 +$18 +22%
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5 May 17 $5 −$5 -98%
Athletic Club vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5 May 17 $102 −$4 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 66% +$603
other 22% −$134
world 12% −$316
crypto 0% −$14
politics 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 AND Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Qat BUY 7¢ $10 2m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 11.5 Total Corners SELL Over 87¢ $2 9m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 11.5 Total Corners SELL Over 80¢ $5 9m
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? SELL Yes 16¢ $2 13m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Over 34¢ $3 48m
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 50m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 66¢ $36 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 3¢ $1 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 10¢ $1 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 56¢ $10 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 14¢ $6 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY 26¢ $3 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 52¢ $10 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 53¢ $10 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 16¢ $10 1h
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 AND Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 AND Bra BUY 4¢ $2 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 AND Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Qat BUY 9¢ $1 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 AND Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Net BUY 6¢ $1 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 1¢ $1 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 8¢ $1 2h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 24¢ $3 2h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 2h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 67¢ $8 25h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 4¢ $1 25h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 10¢ $3 25h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 4¢ $5 25h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $5 25h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 AND Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegov BUY 65¢ $2 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-3.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -1.9% -11.2% 43% 43% +17.2%
≤30d 62 +13.7% +2.8% 35% 35% -9.4%
≤90d 420 +10.0% -0.5% 37% 36% -4.6%
all 486 +6.7% -3.4% 37% 35% -6.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.4% 35% -6.3%
10% -12.7% 31% -15.3%
15% -21.1% 28% -23.5%
20% -28.9% 24% -31.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.40 · official $31.40 · 1409 history records