Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:10:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D0
0xd0c0…5565
politics · 6 markets active 588d ago
0.0score
+$4,800,671 +94%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,800,671 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY politics specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Net worth$0
Realized+$4,800,671
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses4 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)6 / 6
History coverage1d
Avg bet$855,466
Trades / day2327.9
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election? Nov 15 $1,110 −$1,110 -100%
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi Nov 12 $344,293 +$579,158 +168%
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? Nov 12 $1,017,564 +$1,689,262 +166%
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? Nov 07 $4,536 −$4,536 -100%
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? Nov 07 $214,853 +$373,471 +174%
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Nov 07 $3,550,441 +$2,164,425 +61%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 100% +$4,800,671
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 36¢ $5,175 587d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 36¢ $255 587d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 36¢ $246 587d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 36¢ $246 587d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 36¢ $12 587d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 36¢ $5 587d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 36¢ $236 587d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 36¢ $220 587d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 36¢ $17 587d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 36¢ $4,678 587d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 36¢ $15 587d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 36¢ $12 587d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 36¢ $12 587d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 36¢ $303 587d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 36¢ $276 587d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 36¢ $8 587d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 36¢ $2,711 587d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 36¢ $12 587d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 36¢ $83 587d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 36¢ $86 587d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 36¢ $28 587d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 36¢ $12 587d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 36¢ $39 587d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 36¢ $0 587d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 36¢ $0 587d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 36¢ $0 587d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 36¢ $0 587d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 36¢ $8,224 587d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 36¢ $12 587d
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? BUY No 36¢ $2 587d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+46.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 6 +61.5% +46.1% 67% 67% +75.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2327.9 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +46.1% 67% +75.1%
10% +32.1% 67% +58.3%
15% ← realistic here +19.4% 67% +43.0%
20% +7.7% 67% +29.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2536 history records