Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:09:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D0
0xd0c0…bb67
crypto · 509 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$157 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$159 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$4
Realized−$159
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses273 / 234
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)507 / 509
History coverage22d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day28.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 507 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$143
7 days−$135
14 days−$135
30 days−$159
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 50¢ $0 $2 +$2 (+0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 51¢ 40¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-23%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 55¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 54¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 37¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 46¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 64¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 74¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 49¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 77¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 79¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 41¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 57¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 32¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 64¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 39¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 40¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 31¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 62¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 68¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 32¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 39¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 33¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 52¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 53¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +140%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +42%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +173%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +159%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% −$153
sports 6% −$3
weather 4% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 38m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 478 -7.2% -16.1% 54% 53% -17.1%
≤30d 507 -7.4% -16.2% 54% 53% -17.0%
≤90d 507 -7.4% -16.2% 54% 53% -17.0%
all 507 -7.4% -16.2% 54% 53% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.2% 53% -17.0%
10% ← realistic here -24.3% 50% -25.0%
15% -31.6% 39% -32.2%
20% -38.3% 32% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.47 · official $4.67 (match) · 907 history records