Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:44:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D0
0xd0be…96ec
crypto · 371 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$537 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$537 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$537
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses223 / 148
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)371 / 371
History coverage25d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day17.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 371 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days−$263
30 days−$537
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5 Over 41¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers 55¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$14 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$4 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$5 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$493
sports 4% −$44
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $15 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $17 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $18 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $17 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $11 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $11 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $11 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $11 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $11 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $12 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $9 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $11 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $11 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $13 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $13 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 97 +0.2% -9.4% 78% 74% -9.2%
≤30d 371 -0.2% -9.7% 60% 56% -19.6%
≤90d 371 -0.2% -9.7% 60% 56% -19.6%
all 371 -0.2% -9.7% 60% 56% -19.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 56% -19.6%
10% -18.4% 47% -27.3%
15% -26.3% 33% -34.3%
20% -33.5% 25% -40.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 645 history records