Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:57:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D0
0xd0a4…2e93
world · 48 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$1 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses15 / 32
Open positions1
Markets (closed)47 / 48
History coverage296d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown53%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 1 History 47 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 37¢ 36¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Jun 13 $29 $0 -1%
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 12 $59 $0 +0%
Trump out as President before 2027? Jun 10 $4 $0 +0%
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 10 $29 $0 +1%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 09 $29 +$1 +2%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? Jun 09 $28 $0 +0%
Iran Nuke before 2027? Jun 09 $31 $0 +0%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 08 $2 $0 -10%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 07 $61 $0 -0%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Jun 07 $62 $0 +0%
Iran leadership change by June 30? Jun 06 $32 $0 +0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Jun 05 $29 $0 +0%
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? Sep 17 $41 $0 +0%
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? Sep 17 $41 $0 +0%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Sep 16 $42 $0 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026? Sep 15 $46 $0 +0%
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Sep 15 $46 $0 -0%
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Sep 15 $46 $0 -0%
Will Alexei Gorinov win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? Sep 14 $10 $0 +0%
Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025? Sep 14 $5 $0 +0%
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30? Sep 13 $4 $0 +4%
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Sep 08 $5 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? Sep 02 $5 $0 +0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series? Sep 02 $14 $0 +0%
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025 Sep 02 $5 $0 -3%
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? Aug 29 $5 $0 +0%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? Aug 28 $5 $0 -0%
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31? Aug 27 $5 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? Aug 27 $10 $0 +0%
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025? Aug 26 $5 $0 +0%
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025? Aug 26 $5 $0 +0%
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? Aug 25 $5 $0 +0%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series? Aug 25 $4 $0 +0%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? Aug 25 $5 $0 -0%
Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? Aug 24 $5 $0 +0%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Aug 24 $10 $0 +0%
Will Nick Delehanty win the Irish Presidential Election? Aug 24 $5 $0 +0%
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025? Aug 24 $5 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Aug 23 $5 $0 +0%
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? Aug 23 $4 $0 +0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series? Aug 23 $5 $0 +1%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Aug 22 $40 $0 +0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? Aug 22 $2 $0 +0%
Will Volodymyr Zelensky win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? Aug 22 $42 $0 +0%
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Aug 21 $41 $0 +0%
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in August? Aug 21 $41 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 35% +$1
sports 22% $0
politics 17% $0
other 15% $0
culture 5% $0
finance 3% $0
crypto 1% $0
economics 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY Yes 37¢ $12 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? SELL Yes 83¢ $5 5h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? SELL Yes 83¢ $24 5h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? BUY Yes 84¢ $29 7h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? SELL No 94¢ $30 10h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? BUY No 92¢ $30 14h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 34¢ $2 18h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 34¢ $24 18h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 34¢ $6 18h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 34¢ $33 18h
Trump out as President before 2027? SELL Yes 10¢ $4 2d
Trump out as President before 2027? BUY Yes 10¢ $4 2d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? SELL No 76¢ $24 3d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? SELL No 76¢ $6 3d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? BUY No 75¢ $29 3d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? SELL Yes 45¢ $29 3d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? BUY Yes 44¢ $29 3d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? SELL No 79¢ $28 3d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? BUY No 79¢ $28 3d
Iran Nuke before 2027? SELL No 91¢ $31 3d
Iran Nuke before 2027? BUY No 90¢ $31 3d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 34¢ $23 4d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 34¢ $3 4d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 34¢ $11 4d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 34¢ $16 4d
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 4d
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 3¢ $1 4d
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 3¢ $1 4d
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 4d
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -0.5% -10.0% 50% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 13 -0.5% -10.0% 46% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 13 -0.5% -10.0% 46% 0% -9.4%
all 47 -0.1% -9.6% 32% 0% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 0% -9.5%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.04 · official $12.04 (match) · 136 history records