trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 38¢ | 19¢ | $400 | $201 | −$199 (-50%) |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 46¢ | 46¢ | $66 | $67 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-100%) |
| League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Weibo Gaming | Weibo Gaming | 44¢ | 0¢ | $40 | $0 | −$40 (-100%) |
| EuroBasket: Germany vs. Slovenia | Slovenia | 34¢ | 0¢ | $60 | $0 | −$60 (-100%) |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) | Cavaliers | 49¢ | 0¢ | $38 | $0 | −$38 (-100%) |
| Knicks vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 48¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-100%) |
| League of Legends: Gen.G vs. G2 | G2 | 13¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-100%) |
| Bucks vs. Lakers | Lakers | 33¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-100%) |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | Lakers | 29¢ | 0¢ | $18 | $0 | −$18 (-100%) |
| League of Legends: Ultra Prime vs. Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ultra Prime | 15¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-100%) |
| League of Legends: FunPlus Phoenix vs. Team WE | FunPlus | 32¢ | 0¢ | $40 | $0 | −$40 (-100%) |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | Timberwolves | 48¢ | 0¢ | $66 | $0 | −$66 (-100%) |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Magic | 26¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-100%) |
| Nuggets vs. Warriors | Nuggets | 50¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-100%) |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | Knicks | 40¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-100%) |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Over | 45¢ | 0¢ | $39 | $0 | −$39 (-100%) |
| Nets vs. Wizards | Nets | 39¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-100%) |
| Pistons vs. Knicks | Knicks | 17¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | Pistons | 38¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 | Over | 50¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-100%) |
| League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Team WE | Team WE | 36¢ | 0¢ | $45 | $0 | −$45 (-100%) |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) | Cavaliers | 51¢ | 0¢ | $40 | $0 | −$40 (-100%) |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | Lakers | 50¢ | 0¢ | $131 | $0 | −$131 (-100%) |
| League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. Invictus Gaming | Invictus Gaming | 46¢ | 0¢ | $40 | $0 | −$40 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 | Jun 12 | $51 | +$31 | +60% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $51 | +$3 | +6% |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI | Jun 12 | $67 | −$66 | -98% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 | Jun 12 | $29 | −$28 | -98% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $51 | +$62 | +121% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 | Jun 11 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score | Jun 11 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5 | Jun 11 | $39 | +$35 | +89% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 | Jun 10 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 10 | $67 | −$66 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $89 | +$102 | +114% |
| Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5) | Jun 06 | $69 | +$80 | +116% |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) | Jun 06 | $51 | +$39 | +76% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 | Jun 05 | $81 | −$80 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 | Jun 04 | $101 | −$50 | -49% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5 | Jun 04 | $37 | +$34 | +93% |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | Jun 04 | $51 | +$51 | +101% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5 | Jun 04 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | May 31 | $50 | +$57 | +114% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | May 31 | $280 | +$568 | +203% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $57 | −$56 | -98% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime? | May 30 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Song Yadong win by KO or TKO? | May 30 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) | May 24 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 20 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) | May 19 | $67 | −$66 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 19 | $37 | −$37 | -98% |
| LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 18 | $25 | +$37 | +146% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 18 | $61 | +$97 | +158% |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | May 16 | $67 | −$66 | -98% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 16 | $90 | +$130 | +145% |
| Spread: Pistons (-6.5) | May 15 | $6 | −$6 | -99% |
| 1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5) | May 13 | $69 | −$68 | -99% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 12 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 11 | $59 | −$58 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 11 | $59 | −$58 | -98% |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | May 10 | $41 | +$46 | +114% |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | May 10 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) | May 10 | $30 | −$30 | -98% |
| 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5) | May 10 | $30 | +$28 | +93% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 09 | $69 | −$68 | -98% |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | May 09 | $133 | −$131 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 09 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Spread: Knicks (-10.5) | May 09 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 09 | $89 | −$88 | -98% |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) | May 07 | $39 | −$38 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 07 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Spread: Thunder (-15.5) | May 07 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | -14.4% | -22.6% | 47% | 40% | -16.1% |
| ≤30d | 34 | -13.4% | -21.7% | 41% | 38% | +4.7% |
| ≤90d | 160 | +9.1% | -1.3% | 46% | 45% | -3.1% |
| all | 404 | -1.4% | -10.8% | 43% | 43% | -9.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.8% | 43% | -9.9% |
| 10% | -19.3% | 43% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -27.1% | 42% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -34.3% | 42% | -33.6% |