Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T21:49:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D0 0xd0a0…5bee crypto 53 markets active 4d ago coverage 3d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$22 (-6%) realized −$22 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR49%break-even
Win rate58%31W / 22L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day35.5pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 89% −$25
sports 11% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-16.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -7.8% -16.6% 58% 49% -16.6%
≤30d 53 -7.8% -16.6% 58% 49% -16.6%
≤90d 53 -7.8% -16.6% 58% 49% -16.6%
all 53 -7.8% -16.6% 58% 49% -16.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover35.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.6% 49% -16.6%
10% ← realistic here -24.5% 42% -24.6%
15% -31.8% 17% -31.9%
20% -38.5% 9% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
13% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$4 · ×0.49 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.69 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$22
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses31 / 22
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)53 / 53
History coverage3d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day35.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 53 Trades
no open positions (6 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $5 +$1 +24%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$8 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$5 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $13 +$6 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $14 −$3 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +29%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$2 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$5 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$5 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$5 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$2 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +65%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 24¢ $1 4d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 24¢ $1 4d
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY FUT Esports 56¢ $5 4d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 80¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 5d
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 50¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 144 history records