trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +29.8% | +17.4% | 100% | 100% | +17.4% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -31.4% | -37.9% | 57% | 29% | -24.9% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +6.2% | -3.9% | 79% | 36% | -18.0% |
| all | 25 | -18.9% | -26.6% | 56% | 32% | -8.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -26.6% | 32% | -8.1% |
| 10% | -33.6% | 16% | -16.9% |
| 15% | -40.0% | 8% | -25.0% |
| 20% | -45.9% | 8% | -32.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft? | Yes | 78¢ | 72¢ | $40 | $37 | −$3 (-7%) |
| Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft? | No | 89¢ | 78¢ | $30 | $26 | −$4 (-13%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $13 | $13 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Jun 20 | $21 | +$6 | +30% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 07 | $30 | −$20 | -68% |
| Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season? | Jun 07 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? | May 31 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | May 31 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Human moon landing in 2026? | May 31 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | May 31 | $131 | +$21 | +16% |
| Suns vs. Grizzlies | May 18 | $2 | $0 | +15% |
| Credit One Charleston Open: Viktoriya Tomova vs Jennifer Brady | May 18 | $2 | $0 | +20% |
| Bulls vs. Spurs | May 18 | $3 | $0 | +6% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | May 18 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | May 18 | $10 | $0 | +5% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | May 18 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026? | May 18 | $5 | +$14 | +257% |
| Hornets vs. Suns | Mar 08 | $1,013 | −$1,013 | -100% |
| Spread: Hornets (-4.5) | Mar 08 | $4,000 | −$4,000 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Cavaliers | Mar 08 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) | Mar 08 | $7,010 | −$7,010 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5 | Mar 08 | $3,600 | −$3,600 | -100% |
| Wizards vs. Hawks | Mar 06 | $8 | +$1 | +15% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) | Mar 06 | $15,515 | +$16,148 | +104% |
| Spread: Magic (-8.5) | Mar 05 | $15 | $0 | -2% |
| Heat vs. Wizards | Feb 24 | $6 | +$1 | +24% |
| Will Uber Technologies (UBER) beat quarterly earnings? | Jan 31 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Heat | Jan 31 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |