trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 6 | -1.3% | -10.7% | 0% | 0% | -10.7% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -1.3% | -10.7% | 0% | 0% | -10.7% |
| all | 19 | -4.9% | -14.0% | 42% | 5% | -10.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.0% | 5% | -10.9% |
| 10% | -22.2% | 5% | -19.4% |
| 15% | -29.7% | 0% | -27.2% |
| 20% | -36.6% | 0% | -34.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 92¢ | 90¢ | $43 | $43 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 26 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 26 | $2 | $0 | -2% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | May 26 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | May 25 | $53 | −$2 | -4% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 25 | $50 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 25 | $46 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 11 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 20 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? | May 07 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 57°F or below on March 21? | Mar 22 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 22 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 20 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 55°F or higher on March 9? | Mar 11 | $14 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 53°F or below on March 10? | Mar 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Trump say 'tariff' 5+ times times during the 2025 State of the Un | Mar 06 | $12 | +$4 | +28% |
| Detroit Mercy vs. Northern Kentucky | Mar 03 | $17 | −$5 | -28% |
| Lehigh vs. Loyola Maryland | Mar 03 | $18 | $0 | +0% |