Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:35:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D0
0xd067…dc4e
politics · 201 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$8 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$31
Realized−$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses54 / 143
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions4
Markets (closed)197 / 201
History coverage97d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day7.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 4 History 197 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$6
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? No 51¢ 51¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 98¢ 98¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-0%)
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 99¢ 99¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+0%)
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 98¢ 98¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 14 $17 $0 -0%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Jun 14 $12 $0 -3%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $12 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $28 $0 -0%
Trump out as President before 2027? Jun 12 $24 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6AM ET Jun 06 $8 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7PM ET Jun 06 $6 $0 +1%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 04 $17 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 04 $16 $0 -2%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? Jun 04 $10 $0 +2%
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 03 $8 $0 -0%
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 03 $15 $0 -0%
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 03 $7 $0 -0%
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 03 $6 $0 -0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 03 $9 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET Jun 03 $6 −$1 -25%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 03 $14 $0 -0%
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 02 $16 $0 -0%
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 02 $16 $0 -0%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 02 $22 $0 -0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 02 $11 $0 -0%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 02 $39 $0 -0%
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 02 $16 $0 -0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 02 $26 $0 -0%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 02 $43 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 02 $8 $0 -0%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 01 $26 −$1 -2%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 01 $29 $0 -0%
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 01 $8 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8AM ET Jun 01 $7 $0 +0%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 01 $6 $0 -1%
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 01 $42 $0 -0%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 01 $18 $0 -2%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 01 $20 $0 -0%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele Jun 01 $39 −$1 -3%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 01 $15 $0 -0%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 01 $40 $0 -0%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 01 $23 $0 -0%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 31 $13 $0 -0%
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 31 $18 $0 -0%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 31 $27 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 31 $38 $0 -1%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential e May 31 $29 $0 -0%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 31 $24 $0 -0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? May 31 $9 $0 -0%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 31 $12 $0 -0%
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 31 $21 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? May 30 $16 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 30 $10 $0 -0%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 30 $28 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 47% −$5
other 26% −$4
crypto 12% −$2
sports 10% +$1
world 4% −$3
economics 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $8 1h
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $8 1h
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? SELL No 89¢ $7 2h
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 98¢ $9 34h
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 98¢ $6 35h
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 98¢ $6 38h
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $6 39h
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $6 39h
Trump out as President before 2027? SELL No 91¢ $8 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $8 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 8d
Trump out as President before 2027? BUY No 90¢ $8 9d
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 98¢ $6 9d
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? BUY No 92¢ $7 10d
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 98¢ $5 10d
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 95¢ $5 10d
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $9 10d
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $9 10d
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 98¢ $5 10d
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 95¢ $5 10d
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $8 10d
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $8 10d
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $6 11d
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $6 11d
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $7 11d
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $7 11d
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $6 11d
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $6 11d
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $9 11d
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $9 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -0.9% -10.4% 0% 0% -10.2%
≤30d 75 -0.8% -10.2% 8% 0% -10.1%
≤90d 163 -0.2% -9.7% 22% 0% -10.0%
all 197 -0.2% -9.7% 27% 0% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.9%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.6%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.4%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $31.01 · official $31.01 (match) · 943 history records