Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T15:00:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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D0 0xd05f…75d3 crypto 1544 markets active 0h ago coverage 68d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 68d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$113 (-2%) realized −$113 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR60%break-even
Win rate60%931W / 613L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day29.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$425
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 131 -12.5% -20.8% 49% 49% -11.3%
≤30d 194 -15.1% -23.2% 50% 50% -16.9%
≤90d 1544 -6.7% -15.6% 60% 60% -15.7%
all 1544 -6.7% -15.6% 60% 60% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover29.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.6% 60% -15.7%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 60% -23.7%
15% -31.0% 59% -31.1%
20% -37.8% 25% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -9% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$4 · ×0.54 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.82 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

68d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$113
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses931 / 613
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1544 / 1544
History coverage68d ⚠
Avg bet$4
Trades / day29.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1544 Trades
no open positions (92 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$4 +317%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$4 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$4 +266%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$4 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records