Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:52:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D0
0xd054…c6be
sports · 117 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$374 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,117 · open −$743
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$132
Realized+$1,117
Unrealized−$743
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses69 / 42
Whale WR (big bets)83%
Est. fees paid−$230
Open positions6
Markets (closed)111 / 117
History coverage28d
Avg bet$168
Trades / day10.2
Drawdown82%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 6 History 111 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$103
7 days−$368
14 days+$559
30 days+$1,117
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 62¢ 60¢ $112 $109 −$3 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 69¢ 22¢ $72 $23 −$50 (-69%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 47¢ 0¢ $209 $0 −$209 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 49¢ 0¢ $196 $0 −$196 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 72¢ 0¢ $245 $0 −$245 (-100%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) KT Rolster 41¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner JD Gaming 57¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 26¢ 0¢ $264 $0 −$264 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner Liquid 60¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Global Esports 71¢ 0¢ $568 $0 −$568 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 62¢ 0¢ $124 $0 −$124 (-100%)
Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5) NRG 70¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner DN SOOPers 34¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 61¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Legacy 64¢ 0¢ $128 $0 −$128 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 40¢ 0¢ $316 $0 −$316 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 68¢ 0¢ $462 $0 −$462 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 47¢ 0¢ $149 $0 −$149 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 59¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Anyones Legend 45¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner Liquid 56¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 58¢ 0¢ $111 $0 −$111 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Legacy 43¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 62¢ 0¢ $298 $0 −$298 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Liquid 61¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $413 +$470 +114%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $691 +$23 +3%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $109 −$109 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $302 −$298 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $151 +$49 +32%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $141 +$59 +41%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $467 −$462 -99%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $244 +$156 +64%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $94 +$56 +59%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $418 −$294 -70%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $351 +$237 +67%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $127 −$126 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $62 +$38 +62%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $321 −$316 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $133 +$66 +50%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $265 −$264 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $55 +$45 +82%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $517 +$481 +93%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $127 −$125 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $487 +$212 +43%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $716 −$587 -82%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $271 −$270 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $355 +$344 +97%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $103 +$47 +46%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $500 +$179 +36%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $152 −$149 -98%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 09 $127 +$123 +97%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $102 −$102 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $134 −$134 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $132 −$132 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $117 −$117 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $180 −$180 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $122 −$122 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $301 −$301 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $263 −$263 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $248 −$248 -100%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $100 −$100 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $64 +$36 +57%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $113 +$86 +76%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $176 −$174 -99%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $84 +$66 +79%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $59 −$58 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $91 −$90 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $508 +$391 +77%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $230 +$120 +52%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $99 −$98 -99%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $149 +$150 +101%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $41 +$58 +143%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $82 +$68 +82%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $108 +$52 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$308
other 5% +$682
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 69¢ $73 1h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 62¢ $113 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $83 1h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL FUT Esports 72¢ $43 1h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 73¢ $15 1h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 73¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 73¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 72¢ $266 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 51¢ $39 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 51¢ $90 1h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY KT Rolster 41¢ $42 3h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 49¢ $199 7h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $883 7h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $413 14h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 99¢ $396 14h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 60¢ $302 15h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 80¢ $318 15h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $691 17h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $200 17h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $200 17h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 75¢ $151 18h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $467 18h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL Paper Rex 100¢ $400 18h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $150 19h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 55¢ $110 19h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 62¢ $301 19h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Falcons 60¢ $119 19h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL Paper Rex 100¢ $588 19h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 67¢ $102 20h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 67¢ $15 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-5.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 72 -2.8% -12.1% 58% 57% -11.8%
≤30d 111 +4.2% -5.7% 62% 61% -4.0%
≤90d 111 +4.2% -5.7% 62% 61% -4.0%
all 111 +4.2% -5.7% 62% 61% -4.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.7% 61% -4.0%
10% -14.7% 60% -13.1%
15% -23.0% 56% -21.5%
20% -30.5% 39% -29.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $132.09 · official $132.09 (match) · 313 history records