Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:15:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D0
0xd051…53e1
sports · 100 markets active 1h ago
5.5score
+$176 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$181 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$495
Realized+$181
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses57 / 32
Est. fees paid−$23
Open positions11
Markets (closed)89 / 100
History coverage79d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day2.2
Drawdown42%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 11 History 89 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$81
14 days+$93
30 days+$53
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card) Manel Kape 61¢ 62¢ $70 $71 +$1 (+1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Ilia Topuria 81¢ 80¢ $70 $70 −$0 (-1%)
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) Max Holloway 74¢ 69¢ $68 $64 −$4 (-6%)
UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims) Allan Nascimento 61¢ 66¢ $57 $62 +$4 (+8%)
UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card) Andre Lima 81¢ 66¢ $70 $56 −$13 (-19%)
UFC Fight Night: Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov (Featherweight, Main Card) Murtazali Magomedov 63¢ 74¢ $47 $55 +$8 (+17%)
UFC Fight Night: Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov (Featherweight, Main Card) Melsik Baghdasaryan 21¢ 26¢ $32 $39 +$8 (+24%)
UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims) Karol Rosa 52¢ 54¢ $27 $28 +$1 (+3%)
Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO? No 61¢ 60¢ $27 $26 −$1 (-2%)
Fight to Go the Distance? No 84¢ 85¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) Mauricio Ruffy 82¢ 82¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+1%)
Fight to Go the Distance? No 76¢ 80¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card) Daniel Santos 47¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Fight to Go the Distance? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Ben Johnston (Middleweight, Prelims) Ben Johnston 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Dooho Choi win by KO or TKO? No 71¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Fight to Go the Distance? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card) Malcolm Wellmaker 65¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Fight to Go the Distance? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Fight to Go the Distance? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Belal Muhammad win by KO or TKO? Jun 07 $31 +$6 +18%
Fight to Go the Distance? Jun 07 $16 +$28 +172%
Will Iwo Baraniewski win by KO or TKO? Jun 07 $45 +$6 +13%
Fight to Go the Distance? Jun 06 $27 +$31 +115%
UFC Fight Night: Yuneisy Duben vs. Jeisla Chaves (Women's Flyweight, P Jun 06 $70 +$15 +21%
Fight to Go the Distance? Jun 06 $4 −$4 -98%
Fight to Go the Distance? Jun 05 $36 −$35 -99%
Will Sumudaerji win by KO or TKO? May 30 $22 −$9 -41%
Will Alex Perez win by KO or TKO? May 30 $70 −$28 -39%
Fight to Go the Distance? May 30 $18 −$3 -18%
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Ma May 30 $70 +$22 +31%
Fight to Go the Distance? May 30 $11 +$3 +29%
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, May 30 $46 +$16 +35%
Will Jose Henrique win by KO or TKO? May 30 $7 +$3 +36%
UFC Fight Night: Jake Matthews vs. Carlston Harris (Welterweight, Main May 30 $68 +$38 +56%
Will Angela Hill win by KO or TKO? May 30 $39 +$3 +7%
Fight to Go the Distance? May 30 $7 +$3 +36%
UFC Fight Night: Trey Ogden vs. Tommy Gantt (Lightweight, Prelims) May 28 $46 −$10 -22%
Fight to Go the Distance? May 28 $38 −$1 -3%
UFC Fight Night: Jesus Aguilar vs. Rei Tsuruya (Flyweight, Prelims) May 28 $50 −$14 -28%
UFC Fight Night: Victor Henry vs. Bryce Mitchell (Bantamweight, Main C May 28 $63 −$11 -18%
Fight to Go the Distance? May 27 $2 −$2 -98%
UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main C May 17 $3 +$3 +90%
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims) May 17 $2 +$3 +152%
Will Dooho Choi win by KO or TKO? May 15 $7 −$7 -99%
UFC Fight Night: Nicolas Dalby vs. Jeremiah Wells (Welterweight, Preli May 14 $38 −$1 -3%
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main C May 11 $9 −$9 -99%
Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO? May 10 $50 +$13 +26%
Fight to Go the Distance? May 10 $52 +$18 +34%
Will Yaroslav Amosov win by KO or TKO? May 10 $4 +$1 +23%
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims) May 10 $3 +$2 +70%
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims) May 10 $36 +$24 +67%
UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early P May 10 $5 +$1 +26%
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Car May 07 $35 −$34 -98%
Fight to Go the Distance? May 05 $2 −$2 -98%
UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card) May 02 $70 −$4 -5%
UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelim May 02 $100 −$29 -28%
UFC Fight Night: Gerald Meerschaert vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, M May 02 $50 +$9 +17%
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, M Apr 29 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Aljamain Sterling win by KO or TKO? Apr 26 $6 +$1 +8%
Will Joselyne Edwards win by KO or TKO? Apr 26 $15 +$6 +39%
Will Davey Grant win by KO or TKO? Apr 26 $5 +$5 +97%
Will Raoni Barcelos win by KO or TKO? Apr 26 $9 +$1 +8%
Fight to Go the Distance? Apr 26 $20 +$10 +48%
Fight to Go the Distance? Apr 26 $3 +$2 +52%
Will Lucas Brennan win by KO or TKO? Apr 26 $14 +$1 +7%
UFC Fight Night: Jafel Filho vs. Lucas Rocha (Flyweight, Prelims) Apr 23 $50 −$5 -10%
O/U 2.5 Rounds Apr 23 $2 −$2 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Banta Apr 23 $14 −$14 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Ben Johnston (Middleweight, Prelims) Apr 22 $4 −$4 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 75% +$110
other 23% +$53
world 2% +$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card) BUY Andre Lima 81¢ $70 56m
Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO? BUY No 61¢ $4 56m
Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO? BUY No 61¢ $4 1h
Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO? BUY No 61¢ $5 1h
Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO? BUY No 61¢ $5 1h
Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO? BUY No 61¢ $5 1h
Fight to Go the Distance? BUY No 84¢ $7 22h
Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO? BUY No 64¢ $5 26h
Fight to Go the Distance? BUY No 84¢ $4 32h
UFC Fight Night: Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov (Featherw BUY Murtazali Magomedov 63¢ $48 2d
UFC Fight Night: Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov (Featherw BUY Melsik Baghdasaryan 21¢ $32 2d
Fight to Go the Distance? BUY No 76¢ $5 3d
UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Pr BUY Karol Rosa 52¢ $28 3d
UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims BUY Allan Nascimento 61¢ $54 3d
UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims BUY Allan Nascimento 60¢ $5 3d
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card) BUY Manel Kape 61¢ $71 3d
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Mai BUY Mauricio Ruffy 82¢ $8 5d
Fight to Go the Distance? BUY Yes 40¢ $4 6d
Fight to Go the Distance? BUY No 36¢ $16 7d
Fight to Go the Distance? BUY Yes 59¢ $8 7d
Fight to Go the Distance? BUY Yes 58¢ $28 7d
Will Iwo Baraniewski win by KO or TKO? BUY Yes 52¢ $16 7d
Will Iwo Baraniewski win by KO or TKO? BUY Yes 52¢ $11 7d
Will Belal Muhammad win by KO or TKO? BUY No 85¢ $14 8d
Will Belal Muhammad win by KO or TKO? BUY No 84¢ $17 8d
Will Iwo Baraniewski win by KO or TKO? BUY No 36¢ $7 8d
Will Iwo Baraniewski win by KO or TKO? BUY No 35¢ $11 8d
Fight to Go the Distance? BUY No 36¢ $2 8d
Fight to Go the Distance? BUY No 47¢ $15 8d
Fight to Go the Distance? BUY No 47¢ $10 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-1.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +39.8% +26.5% 83% 83% +28.4%
≤30d 25 +9.6% -0.8% 56% 52% -3.5%
≤90d 89 +8.8% -1.6% 64% 56% -2.1%
all 89 +8.8% -1.6% 64% 56% -2.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -1.6% 56% -2.1%
10% -11.0% 46% -11.4%
15% -19.6% 33% -20.0%
20% -27.5% 21% -27.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $495.15 · official $495.16 (match) · 253 history records