Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:11:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D0
0xd044…0e8b
sports · 146 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$10 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open −$18
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$36
Realized+$7
Unrealized−$18
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses72 / 68
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions6
Markets (closed)140 / 146
History coverage51d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 6 History 140 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-06-14? Yes 59¢ 100¢ $12 $20 +$8 (+69%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score No 48¢ 48¢ $8 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Paris Basketball vs. Monaco Paris Basketball 67¢ 60¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-11%)
Stabaek IF vs. Egersunds IK: Both Teams to Score Yes 67¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+49%)
Stabaek IF vs. Egersunds IK: O/U 2.5 Over 70¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+42%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score No 59¢ 58¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-06-14? No 43¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-99%)
Stabaek IF vs. Egersunds IK: O/U 2.5 Under 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-98%)
Stabaek IF vs. Egersunds IK: Both Teams to Score No 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu Jun 14 $8 +$3 +35%
Gamba Ōsaka vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 2.5 May 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Forca Lleida CE vs. Bilbao Basket May 10 $2 $0 -12%
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5 May 10 $2 $0 -3%
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $2 $0 -0%
FC Tōkyō vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 1.5 May 10 $2 +$1 +56%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? May 10 $3 $0 -7%
Matsumoto Yamaga FC vs. Fujieda MYFC: O/U 1.5 May 10 $2 +$1 +44%
Kamatamare Sanuki vs. Kōchi United SC: O/U 2.5 May 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Gainare Tottori vs. Giravanz Kitakyūshū: O/U 2.5 May 10 $2 +$1 +88%
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) May 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-09? May 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-05-09? May 10 $2 +$1 +88%
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) May 10 $3 +$4 +143%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5 May 10 $3 +$2 +60%
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-09? May 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-09? May 09 $2 +$1 +33%
Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime? May 09 $2 +$1 +66%
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-09? May 09 $2 +$1 +53%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovic May 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Blockx May 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Francavilla: Ryan Seggerman vs Jay Clarke May 08 $5 +$8 +164%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09? May 08 $3 $0 -10%
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 May 08 $3 $0 -10%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5 May 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5 May 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) May 05 $2 +$1 +66%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Zeynep Sonmez vs Jennifer Ruggeri May 05 $2 +$1 +60%
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-05? May 05 $3 +$2 +72%
AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5 May 04 $2 +$1 +88%
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5 May 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04? May 04 $2 +$2 +126%
Will CF América win on 2026-05-03? May 04 $2 +$1 +63%
Will FBC Melgar vs. CU Técnica de Cajamarca end in a draw? May 04 $5 −$2 -54%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $3 +$2 +72%
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 May 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5) May 03 $2 −$2 -100%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: Both Teams to Score May 03 $2 −$2 -100%
SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to Score May 03 $1 −$1 -100%
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 3.5 May 03 $2 +$1 +91%
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $2 +$1 +53%
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-02? May 03 $2 +$1 +60%
Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5) May 02 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-6.5) May 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Abidjan 2: Michael Geerts vs Niels Visker May 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapova May 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Score Apr 30 $2 +$2 +116%
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) Apr 30 $2 +$1 +44%
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5 Apr 30 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 68% −$22
other 32% +$12
politics 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY No 48¢ $2 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY No 48¢ $2 1h
Paris Basketball vs. Monaco BUY Paris Basketball 70¢ $2 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY No 48¢ $2 1h
Paris Basketball vs. Monaco BUY Paris Basketball 65¢ $2 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY No 48¢ $2 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY No 48¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 46¢ $2 2h
Stabaek IF vs. Egersunds IK: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 67¢ $2 2h
Stabaek IF vs. Egersunds IK: Both Teams to Score BUY No 36¢ $2 2h
Stabaek IF vs. Egersunds IK: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 32¢ $2 2h
Stabaek IF vs. Egersunds IK: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 70¢ $2 2h
Stabaek IF vs. Egersunds IK: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 33¢ $2 2h
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Donna Vekic 58¢ $2 2h
Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 43¢ $1 2h
Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 43¢ $2 2h
Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 59¢ $2 2h
Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 59¢ $2 2h
Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 43¢ $2 2h
Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 59¢ $2 2h
Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 43¢ $2 2h
Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 59¢ $2 2h
Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 43¢ $2 2h
Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 43¢ $2 2h
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score BUY No 59¢ $2 2h
Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 59¢ $2 2h
Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 59¢ $2 2h
Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 43¢ $2 2h
Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 59¢ $2 2h
Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 43¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-3.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +34.8% +22.0% 100% 100% +22.0%
≤30d 1 +34.8% +22.0% 100% 100% +22.0%
≤90d 140 +7.1% -3.1% 51% 51% -7.7%
all 140 +7.1% -3.1% 51% 51% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.1% 51% -7.7%
10% -12.3% 49% -16.5%
15% -20.8% 44% -24.6%
20% -28.6% 40% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $36.39 · official $36.39 (match) · 382 history records