Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:21:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D0 0xd041…96b1 crypto 732 markets active 6d ago coverage 27d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (89 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$176 (+0%) realized +$176 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR6%break-even
Win rate93%681W / 51L
Whale WR97%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$223per market
Trades / day89.5pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$237
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$250
other 0% +$6
tech 0% +$14
finance 0% $0
weather 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (89 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -6.7% -15.5% 50% 25% -23.0%
≤30d 731 -1.5% -10.9% 93% 6% -9.6%
≤90d 732 -1.5% -10.8% 93% 6% -9.6%
all 732 -1.5% -10.8% 93% 6% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover89.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 6% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 2% -18.3%
15% -27.2% 1% -26.2%
20% -34.3% 1% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
93% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 97% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -1% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$97 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.95 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

27d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$176
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses681 / 51
Whale WR (big bets)97%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)732 / 732
History coverage27d
Avg bet$223
Trades / day89.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 732 Trades
no open positions (11 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$2 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $32 −$7 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 02 $31 −$22 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 02 $40 −$15 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 02 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 02 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 02 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 02 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 02 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 02 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 02 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 02 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 02 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 02 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 02 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 02 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 02 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 02 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 02 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 02 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 02 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 02 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 02 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 02 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 02 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 02 $10 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 02 $35 −$5 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 02 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 02 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 02 $10 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 02 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 02 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 02 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 02 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 02 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 02 $25 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 02 $45 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 02 $35 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 02 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 02 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 02 $65 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 02 $45 +$2 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $25 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $25 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $6 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $5 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 14d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3383 history records