trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 28 | -14.2% | -22.4% | 32% | 32% | -13.8% |
| ≤90d | 28 | -14.2% | -22.4% | 32% | 32% | -13.8% |
| all | 28 | -14.2% | -22.4% | 32% | 32% | -13.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.4% | 32% | -13.8% |
| 10% | -29.8% | 32% | -22.0% |
| 15% | -36.6% | 32% | -29.5% |
| 20% | -42.8% | 29% | -36.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 15? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 14? | Jun 14 | $42 | −$41 | -98% |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 8? | Jun 08 | $12 | −$12 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 8? | Jun 08 | $16 | −$16 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 7? | Jun 07 | $34 | +$18 | +54% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 6? | Jun 06 | $4 | −$4 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 5? | Jun 05 | $3 | −$3 | -95% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 5? | Jun 05 | $3 | −$3 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 4? | Jun 04 | $8 | +$19 | +225% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 2? | Jun 04 | $44 | −$44 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 2? | Jun 04 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 3? | Jun 04 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 1? | Jun 01 | $43 | −$42 | -98% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on May 31? | May 31 | $11 | −$10 | -89% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on May 30? | May 31 | $43 | +$47 | +110% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 29? | May 29 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 28? | May 28 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 28? | May 28 | $1 | −$1 | -93% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on May 27? | May 27 | $23 | −$23 | -99% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on May 27? | May 27 | $2 | −$2 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on May 26? | May 26 | $10 | +$8 | +76% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on May 25? | May 25 | $7 | +$29 | +450% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 23? | May 24 | $75 | +$37 | +49% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on May 22? | May 23 | $43 | +$41 | +95% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 22? | May 22 | $6 | −$6 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 20? | May 21 | $10 | +$26 | +253% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 20? | May 20 | $8 | +$14 | +169% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 17? | May 20 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 20? | May 20 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |