Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:09:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D0
0xd02b…d6df
crypto · 498 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,325 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,774 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$7,774
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses332 / 416
Open positions1
Markets (closed)748 / 498
History coverage12d
Avg bet$56
Trades / day267.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 748 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,907
7 days−$6,877
14 days−$7,774
30 days−$7,774
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 82¢ 88¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 24¢ 12¢ $6 $3 −$3 (-48%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 40¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+150%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 60¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+67%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $143 −$143 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $320 −$320 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $157 −$157 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$900
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $6 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $6 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $6 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $6 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $6 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $6 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $6 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-41.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 679 -38.8% -44.6% 43% 20% -34.9%
≤30d 748 -35.7% -41.8% 44% 24% -29.9%
≤90d 748 -35.7% -41.8% 44% 24% -29.9%
all 748 -35.7% -41.8% 44% 24% -29.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover267.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -41.8% 24% -29.9%
10% ← realistic here -47.4% 17% -36.6%
15% -52.5% 11% -42.7%
20% -57.1% 7% -48.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.35 · official $9.62 (match) · 3500 history records