Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T05:36:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D0 0xd022…8024 crypto 1153 markets active 0h ago coverage 8d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (154 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$23 (-1%) realized −$23 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate52%550W / 506L
Drawdown34%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day153.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days+$82
14 days+$106
30 days+$106
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$106
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (154 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-7.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 906 +0.7% -8.9% 52% 52% -4.8%
≤30d 1056 +2.2% -7.6% 52% 52% -4.1%
≤90d 1056 +2.2% -7.6% 52% 52% -4.1%
all 1056 +2.2% -7.6% 52% 52% -4.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover153.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.6% 52% -4.1%
10% ← realistic here -16.4% 52% -13.3%
15% -24.5% 52% -21.7%
20% -31.9% 52% -29.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +6% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +7% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$2 · ×1.04 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.13 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses550 / 506
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1056 / 1153
History coverage8d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day153.6
Drawdown34%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1056 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$3 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$3 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $36 +$10 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1811 history records