Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:56:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D0
0xd01b…29c5
sports · 439 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$75 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$78 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$78
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses317 / 120
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions1
Markets (closed)437 / 439
History coverage29d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day35.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 1 History 437 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$111
7 days−$101
14 days−$103
30 days−$78
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 57¢ 99¢ $4 $7 +$3 (+74%)
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage NRG Academy 90¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A MOUZ 72¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17? Yes 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? Yes 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Cavaliers Cavaliers 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paul Alex de Minaur 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Rainbow Six Siege: Twisted Minds vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Playoffs Twisted Minds 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev Daniil Medvedev 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs 9z 73¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Xtreme Gaming 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B PARIVISION 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Spurs Spurs 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs Team Nemesis 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays Baltimore Orioles 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs 100 Thieves 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $1 −$1 -79%
United States vs. Paraguay: Team to Take First Corner Jun 13 $1 +$1 +51%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $4 +$1 +32%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -38%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 +$2 +88%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B Jun 12 $6 −$4 -66%
Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs Jun 12 $6 −$1 -20%
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Will Senegal win on 2026-05-31? Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $2 $0 +11%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +16%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2 +$2 +98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 +$1 +38%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $3 +$1 +49%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $2 $0 +9%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $1 $0 +30%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $2 $0 +11%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $2 +$1 +35%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $1 $0 +11%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $2 +$1 +30%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $3 +$1 +21%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 $0 +7%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 +$1 +38%
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 $0 +8%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -83%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 $0 +9%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $3 +$1 +28%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $2 $0 +16%
Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $1 +$1 +60%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $1 $0 +22%
Will France win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $4 $0 +12%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $1 +$1 +61%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $1 $0 +24%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $2 +$1 +65%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $1 $0 +20%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $1 +$1 +50%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $3 −$1 -33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 46% −$12
crypto 30% −$12
other 23% −$61
world 1% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners SELL Over 17¢ $0 9m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 75¢ $1 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Team to Take First Corner SELL United States 100¢ $2 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 69¢ $1 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Team to Take First Corner BUY United States 65¢ $1 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 3h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 100¢ $5 6h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 16¢ $0 6h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Over 77¢ $1 7h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $1 7h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 91¢ $1 7h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 70¢ $1 8h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 69¢ $1 9h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 72¢ $1 9h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 78¢ $1 9h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 82¢ $1 9h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 100¢ $5 9h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 53¢ $1 9h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 96¢ $5 9h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 22¢ $2 10h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 46¢ $1 10h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 90¢ $1 11h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 76¢ $1 11h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 78¢ $1 11h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 78¢ $1 11h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 76¢ $1 11h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 72¢ $1 11h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 70¢ $1 12h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 70¢ $1 12h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $4 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 -7.8% -16.6% 67% 56% -49.6%
≤30d 437 +0.2% -9.3% 73% 51% -15.5%
≤90d 437 +0.2% -9.3% 73% 51% -15.5%
all 437 +0.2% -9.3% 73% 51% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 51% -15.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 32% -23.6%
15% -25.9% 21% -31.0%
20% -33.2% 14% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.95 · official $6.95 (match) · 1171 history records