trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +108.0% | +88.2% | 25% | 25% | -12.1% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +54.1% | +39.5% | 38% | 12% | -10.6% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +54.1% | +39.5% | 38% | 12% | -10.6% |
| all | 27 | +17.8% | +6.6% | 44% | 11% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +6.6% | 11% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -3.6% | 7% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -12.9% | 7% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -21.5% | 4% | -33.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 86¢ | $39 | $39 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 18 | $80 | −$7 | -8% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 17 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 12 | $39 | +$3 | +8% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 11 | $39 | $0 | +1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 10 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 09 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 09 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Dec 09 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by over 12%? | Jun 25 | $17 | $0 | +2% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 23 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Zach Edey win NBA Rookie of the Year? | Apr 22 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in his first 100 days? | Apr 04 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 03 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Google have the top AI model on March 31? | Apr 02 | $20 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 21-28? | Mar 29 | $18 | +$2 | +13% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 26 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 22 | $3 | $0 | -7% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 22 | $17 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Micky Arison make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall | Mar 20 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "Conclave" win Best Original Score at the 2025 Oscars? | Mar 20 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "The Brutalist" win Best Original Score at the 2025 Oscars? | Mar 02 | $5 | $0 | -7% |
| Will Donald Trump say "Horrible" 5+ times during his presser with Zele | Mar 02 | $5 | +$2 | +47% |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%? | Mar 02 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Rutgers vs. Michigan | Feb 28 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Morehead State vs. Tennessee State | Feb 27 | $12 | $0 | +0% |