Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:57:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D0
0xd004…c9c3
other · 150 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$86 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$89 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$89
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)5%
Wins / losses8 / 142
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)150 / 150
History coverage125d
Avg bet$118
Trades / day3.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 0 History 150 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Nuggets vs. Jazz Jazz 16¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
76ers vs. Pelicans 76ers 60¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Raptors vs. Timberwolves Raptors 35¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Suns vs. Kings Kings 22¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Clippers vs. Grizzlies Grizzlies 31¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Clippers vs. Warriors Warriors 47¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Jazz vs. Wizards Wizards 61¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Pelicans vs. Lakers Pelicans 25¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 14 $16 $0 -0%
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $126 $0 -0%
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 11 $12 $0 -0%
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $11 $0 -0%
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in Jun 07 $16 $0 -0%
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 06 $16 $0 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 06 $136 $0 -0%
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 30 $20 $0 -0%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 30 $133 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? May 30 $18 $0 -0%
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? May 29 $99 $0 -0%
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 24 $197 $0 -0%
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 24 $197 $0 -0%
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 22 $109 $0 -0%
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 22 $191 $0 -0%
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? May 21 $317 $0 -0%
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 20 $181 $0 -0%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 19 $119 $0 -0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 18 $187 $0 -0%
Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election May 18 $120 $0 -0%
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin May 17 $223 $0 -0%
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 16 $94 $0 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 13 $99 $0 -0%
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 13 $87 $0 -0%
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? May 12 $231 $0 -0%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 11 $197 $0 -0%
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 11 $103 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 10 $231 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 10 $124 $0 -0%
Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? May 09 $123 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 07 $220 $0 -0%
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 07 $214 $0 -0%
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 06 $103 $0 -0%
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election May 05 $84 $0 -0%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? May 05 $16 $0 +1%
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 05 $104 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? May 04 $82 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 04 $77 $0 -0%
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? May 04 $184 $0 -0%
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 03 $107 $0 -0%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 02 $84 $0 -0%
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? May 02 $181 $0 -0%
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 02 $106 $0 -0%
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? May 01 $281 $0 -0%
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? May 01 $103 $0 -0%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 30 $84 $0 -0%
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 30 $99 $0 -0%
Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 29 $95 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Apr 27 $88 $0 -0%
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 27 $169 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 46% −$9
politics 35% −$8
sports 10% −$70
economics 3% $0
tech 2% $0
crypto 2% $0
culture 1% $0
world 1% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $16 1h
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $16 9h
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $13 2d
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $13 2d
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $12 3d
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $12 3d
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $11 6d
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $11 6d
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in SELL No 100¢ $16 7d
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in BUY No 100¢ $16 7d
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $16 7d
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $16 8d
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $19 8d
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $19 8d
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $20 14d
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $20 14d
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $12 14d
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $12 15d
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $18 15d
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 100¢ $18 15d
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $99 15d
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $99 19d
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $105 20d
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $105 20d
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $90 21d
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $90 21d
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $109 23d
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $109 23d
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $100 23d
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $100 23d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 22 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 126 -0.1% -9.6% 3% 0% -9.6%
all 150 -2.3% -11.6% 5% 2% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.6% 2% -10.0%
10% -20.1% 1% -18.6%
15% -27.8% 1% -26.5%
20% -34.9% 1% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 443 history records