Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T22:23:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
D0 0xd001…b753 other 1477 markets active 1h ago coverage 117d
TRAPdo not copy ⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$26 (+0%) realized +$26 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate100%1472W / 5L
Drawdown19%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day12.7pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit49%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$3
14 days+$4
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 50% +$14
sports 45% +$8
politics 2% +$1
world 1% $0
crypto 1% +$1
tech 1% $0
culture 0% $0
finance 0% +$1
weather 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 185 +0.4% -9.2% 100% 0% -9.2%
≤30d 465 +0.3% -9.2% 100% 0% -9.2%
≤90d 1264 +0.3% -9.2% 100% 1% -9.2%
all 1477 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 1% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover12.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 1% -9.2%
10% -17.9% 0% -17.9%
15% -25.9% 0% -25.8%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×4.22 per $1 lost it wins $4.22
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

117d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$26
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1472 / 5
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1477 / 1477
History coverage117d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day12.7
Drawdown19%
Kalshi-fit49%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1477 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Warren Zaïre-Emery: 4+ goals + assists Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Aguiard vs. Ellis: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Mariangel Estrella vs. Sofia Meabe: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Riera (-1.5) vs Lollia (+1.5) Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Jaramillo vs Cui Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Gille/Verbeek vs. Gill/Harris: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Wawrzkiewicz (-1.5) vs Straszewska (+1.5) Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Doumbia/Polmans vs Cabral/Miedler Jun 16 $4 $0 +0%
Estevez vs. Rossini: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Game 1: Ends in Daytime? Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KOLESIE (-3.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+3 Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Petra Sedlackova vs. Urszula Radwanska: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Bekeni vs Daskalovic Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Set 2 Winner: Luz/Matos vs Arribage/Olivetti Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Gutierrez (-1.5) vs Paez (+1.5) Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Oscar Jose Gutierrez vs. Luis Garcia Paez: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Drame vs. Mladenovic: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill? Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Covato vs. Karma: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Corvi vs. Hejtmanek: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $4 $0 +0%
Sarpreet Singh: 2+ shots Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Jesse Randall: 2+ shots on target Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Mehdi Taremi: 2+ shots on target Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Mohammad Mohebbi: 4+ goals + assists Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Joey Loperfido: Home Runs O/U 0.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Lachlan Bayliss: 3+ shots Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Ben Waine: 3+ shots on target Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Brian Rodríguez: 2+ shots on target Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Agustín Canobbio: 5+ shots Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Will Trump say "World" during UFC 250? Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Darwin Núñez: 1+ shots Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Ryan Gusto: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ shots on target Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Nicolas Raskin: 1+ shots Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Facundo Pellistri: 5+ shots Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Ibrahim Adel: 1+ shots Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 4+ shots on target Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Hans Vanaken: 2+ goals Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Mahmoud Saber: 2+ assists Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Mohamed El Shenawy: 5+ saves Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Alex Baena: 2+ shots Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Dani Olmo: 2+ goals Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Bebop (-6.5) vs RUSTEC (+6.5) Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Daniel Svensson: 2+ goals + assists Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Sebastian Tounekti: 4+ shots Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Elliot Stroud: 2+ shots on target Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Ali Abdi: 1+ goals + assists Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Will Sebastian Aho lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in goals? Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Warren Zaïre-Emery: 4+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Aguiard vs. Ellis: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 1h
Mariangel Estrella vs. Sofia Meabe: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Over 2.5 100¢ $5 1h
Set Handicap: Riera (-1.5) vs Lollia (+1.5) BUY Lollia 100¢ $5 3h
Set 1 Winner: Jaramillo vs Cui BUY Cui 100¢ $5 3h
Gille/Verbeek vs. Gill/Harris: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 4h
Set Handicap: Wawrzkiewicz (-1.5) vs Straszewska (+1.5) BUY Straszewska 100¢ $5 5h
Set 1 Winner: Doumbia/Polmans vs Cabral/Miedler BUY Doumbia/Polmans 100¢ $4 5h
Estevez vs. Rossini: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 5h
Game 1: Ends in Daytime? BUY Yes 99¢ $5 8h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KOLESIE (-3.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+3 BUY KOLESIE 100¢ $5 8h
Set 1 Winner: Bekeni vs Daskalovic BUY Bekeni 100¢ $5 9h
Set 2 Winner: Luz/Matos vs Arribage/Olivetti BUY Arribage/Olivetti 100¢ $5 9h
Petra Sedlackova vs. Urszula Radwanska: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Over 2.5 100¢ $5 11h
Oscar Jose Gutierrez vs. Luis Garcia Paez: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Under 2.5 100¢ $5 11h
Set Handicap: Gutierrez (-1.5) vs Paez (+1.5) BUY Gutierrez 100¢ $5 11h
Drame vs. Mladenovic: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 12h
Covato vs. Karma: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 13h
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill? BUY Yes 99¢ $5 13h
Corvi vs. Hejtmanek: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 100¢ $4 14h
Jesse Randall: 2+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 16h
Mehdi Taremi: 2+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 16h
Sarpreet Singh: 2+ shots BUY Yes 100¢ $5 16h
Mohammad Mohebbi: 4+ goals + assists BUY No 100¢ $5 18h
Ben Waine: 3+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 19h
Lachlan Bayliss: 3+ shots BUY No 100¢ $5 19h
Joey Loperfido: Home Runs O/U 0.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 19h
Brian Rodríguez: 2+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 19h
Agustín Canobbio: 5+ shots BUY No 100¢ $5 19h
Darwin Núñez: 1+ shots BUY Yes 100¢ $5 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3252 history records