Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:33:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D0
0xd001…f718
sports · 410 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$18,973 -23%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17,475 · open −$1,497
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$5,011
Realized−$17,475
Unrealized−$1,497
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses165 / 274
Whale WR (big bets)55%
Est. fees paid−$847
Open positions10
Markets (closed)439 / 410
Avg bet$200
Trades / day49.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 10 History 439 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7,829
7 days−$9,514
14 days−$10,173
30 days−$14,692
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 66¢ 100¢ $3,080 $4,664 +$1,583 (+51%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner T1 44¢ 48¢ $141 $152 +$11 (+8%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Under 53¢ 48¢ $165 $152 −$13 (-8%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 71¢ 100¢ $21 $30 +$9 (+41%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 71¢ 100¢ $7 $10 +$3 (+41%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 30¢ 0¢ $1,400 $2 −$1,397 (-100%)
Overwatch: Crazy Raccoon vs ZANSIDE GAMING - Game 2 Winner ZANSIDE GAMING 95¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$94 (-99%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 43¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+132%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-94%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 23¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner B8 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner FURIA 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner Eternal Fire 28¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Winner EDward Gaming Youth Team 21¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 28¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner PARIVISION 11¢ 0¢ $122 $0 −$122 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster Challengers 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Under 19¢ 0¢ $156 $0 −$156 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 40¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BIG 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$14 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $60 −$72 -119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$17 -42%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $392 −$361 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $732 −$732 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$17 -122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$16 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $290 −$128 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $106 −$103 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $94 −$89 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$39 -123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $60 −$44 -74%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $76 −$61 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $870 −$834 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$8 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$32 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $876 −$859 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $3,504 −$3,810 -109%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $6 +$4 +79%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$4 -80%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $4 +$1 +32%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $22 +$6 +28%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $7 −$2 -23%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 +$2 +58%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $7 +$3 +42%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $0 $0 -98%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $109 +$71 +65%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $6 −$5 -91%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 69% −$8,340
crypto 31% −$2,783
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 41¢ $4 1m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 46¢ $5 2m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 43¢ $39 11m
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 54¢ $49 11m
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 54¢ $70 11m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 43¢ $56 11m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 47¢ $8 12m
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 50¢ $9 12m
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 50¢ $13 12m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 47¢ $12 12m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 47¢ $17 12m
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 50¢ $18 12m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 48¢ $2 12m
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 49¢ $2 12m
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 49¢ $2 12m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 48¢ $2 12m
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 49¢ $2 13m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 48¢ $2 13m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 51¢ $3 17m
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 45¢ $0 17m
Overwatch: Crazy Raccoon vs ZANSIDE GAMING - Game 2 Winner BUY ZANSIDE GAMING 95¢ $95 36m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 1¢ $1 36m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 19¢ $1 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 72¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 76¢ $6 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 19¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY B8 23¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY B8 26¢ $1 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 70¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL FURIA 29¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-31.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 150 -27.9% -34.8% 33% 31% -48.3%
≤30d 370 -23.0% -30.3% 36% 34% -37.4%
≤90d 439 -24.6% -31.8% 38% 33% -30.6%
all 439 -24.6% -31.8% 38% 33% -30.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover49.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.8% 33% -30.6%
10% ← realistic here -38.3% 29% -37.2%
15% -44.3% 24% -43.3%
20% -49.8% 18% -48.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,010.66 · official $5,010.36 (match) · 3500 history records