Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:51:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CF
0xcffe…e29b
crypto · 758 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$47 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$47 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$47
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses550 / 208
Open positions0
Markets (closed)758 / 758
History coverage38d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day29.2
Drawdown92%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 758 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$94
7 days−$53
14 days−$143
30 days+$52
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$6 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$6 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$11 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$3 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$8 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$8 +131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$7 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +89%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$47
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $6 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $6 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 196 -6.0% -15.0% 55% 54% -13.4%
≤30d 756 -1.2% -10.6% 73% 47% -7.7%
≤90d 758 -1.3% -10.7% 73% 47% -7.8%
all 758 -1.3% -10.7% 73% 47% -7.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 47% -7.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 34% -16.6%
15% -27.1% 25% -24.6%
20% -34.2% 20% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1649 history records