Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:17:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
CF 0xcffc…2dbd crypto 833 markets active 2d ago coverage 14d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (84 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$29 (+2%) realized +$29 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate44%364W / 469L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day84.3pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$144
14 days−$23
30 days−$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$19
other 0% −$1
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (84 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 385 -27.2% -34.1% 34% 33% -32.3%
≤30d 833 -1.2% -10.6% 44% 43% -11.0%
≤90d 833 -1.2% -10.6% 44% 43% -11.0%
all 833 -1.2% -10.6% 44% 43% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover84.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 43% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 42% -19.5%
15% -27.0% 40% -27.3%
20% -34.1% 39% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +24% → late -26% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$1 · ×1.25 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.97 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

14d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$29
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses364 / 469
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)833 / 833
History coverage14d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day84.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 833 Trades
no open positions (7 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5 Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$2 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$3 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$4 +374%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +140%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 92¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 2d
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 17¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2081 history records