Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:38:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CF
0xcff1…770f
crypto · 333 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$559 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$555 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$25
Realized−$555
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses182 / 150
Open positions1
Markets (closed)332 / 333
History coverage52d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day57.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 332 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$247
7 days−$506
14 days−$532
30 days−$532
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 42¢ 60¢ $11 $15 +$4 (+40%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 57¢ 40¢ $14 $10 −$4 (-29%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$6 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $48 −$13 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$4 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$10 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$6 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$8 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $32 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$2 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $32 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $33 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$7 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$6 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$8 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$4 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$7 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$5 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$9 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $46 −$4 -9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$559
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $9 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 10m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-16.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 125 -2.0% -11.3% 40% 16% -16.5%
≤30d 132 -2.4% -11.7% 39% 16% -16.3%
≤90d 332 -7.8% -16.6% 55% 42% -16.4%
all 332 -7.8% -16.6% 55% 42% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover57.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.6% 42% -16.4%
10% ← realistic here -24.6% 36% -24.4%
15% -31.9% 22% -31.7%
20% -38.6% 10% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25.00 · official $25.00 (match) · 3500 history records