Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:40:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CF
0xcfdb…34aa
other · 249 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$96 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$96 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$96
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)6%
Wins / losses16 / 233
Whale WR (big bets)10%
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)249 / 249
History coverage128d
Avg bet$201
Trades / day9.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit65%
Chart Positions 0 History 249 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$16
14 days−$25
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 13 $344 −$1 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 13 $203 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $120 $0 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $267 $0 +0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $452 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 12 $299 −$1 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $202 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 11 $505 −$1 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $300 $0 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $123 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $316 $0 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $195 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 10 $175 $0 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $515 −$1 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 09 $343 −$1 -0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 09 $116 $0 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $131 $0 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $312 −$1 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $128 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $267 $0 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 08 $143 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $490 −$1 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 07 $357 −$1 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $312 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 07 $848 −$3 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $623 −$1 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 06 $146 $0 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 06 $58 $0 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 06 $195 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $58 $0 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 05 $288 $0 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 04 $234 −$2 -1%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 Jun 04 $89 $0 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 04 $121 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 03 $365 −$1 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $454 $0 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 03 $429 −$1 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 03 $61 $0 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 02 $615 +$1 +0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $405 −$1 -0%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 02 $138 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 01 $427 −$1 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $672 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $210 $0 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 30 $404 −$1 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? May 29 $271 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 28 $416 −$1 -0%
GTA VI released before June 2026? May 27 $265 $0 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 27 $802 −$1 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 27 $80 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 41% −$35
sports 24% −$21
politics 9% −$9
crypto 7% −$7
culture 6% −$7
world 6% −$5
economics 5% −$10
tech 1% −$1
finance 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $54 1h
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $54 3h
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 98¢ $54 4h
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $55 5h
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $54 10h
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $55 11h
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $55 18h
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 99¢ $55 19h
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $55 22h
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $55 24h
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $55 29h
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $55 31h
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $55 32h
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $55 34h
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $55 35h
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $55 37h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $55 38h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $55 40h
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $55 2d
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $55 2d
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $55 2d
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $55 2d
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $55 2d
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $55 2d
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $55 3d
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 98¢ $56 3d
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $56 3d
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $56 3d
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $56 3d
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $56 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 71 -0.2% -9.7% 6% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 180 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
all 249 -0.2% -9.7% 6% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1301 history records