trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 16 | -62.4% | -66.0% | 38% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -72.7% | -75.3% | 27% | 0% | -9.9% |
| all | 22 | -72.7% | -75.3% | 27% | 0% | -9.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -75.3% | 0% | -9.9% |
| 10% | -77.6% | 0% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -79.8% | 0% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -81.8% | 0% | -33.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 25? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $2,029 | $2,032 | +$3 (+0%) |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 23? | Jun 24 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 23? | Jun 23 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 20? | Jun 20 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 17? | Jun 17 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $70,000 on June 16? | Jun 16 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 13? | Jun 13 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 11? | Jun 11 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 6? | Jun 07 | $2,071 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 6? | Jun 06 | $2,068 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on June 5? | Jun 06 | $2,064 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 5? | Jun 05 | $2,056 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on June 4? | Jun 05 | $2,055 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 4? | Jun 04 | $2,051 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 3? | Jun 03 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 30? | May 30 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 27? | May 28 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 24? | May 25 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 23? | May 23 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 22? | May 23 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20? | May 20 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 17? | May 17 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on May 14? | May 14 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |