Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:55:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CF
0xcfa0…8c4c
crypto · 871 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$522 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$517 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$61
Realized+$517
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses428 / 442
Open positions1
Markets (closed)870 / 871
History coverage4d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day744.8
Drawdown94%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 870 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$205
7 days+$517
14 days+$517
30 days+$517
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 47¢ 56¢ $40 $48 +$8 (+19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 28¢ 44¢ $8 $13 +$5 (+59%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $87 −$23 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $59 +$18 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$17 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$15 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $42 +$18 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $137 −$7 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$10 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $61 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $68 −$7 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $72 −$9 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $43 +$18 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $46 −$13 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$14 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$11 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$16 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$28 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$13 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$18 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$18 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $65 −$4 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $68 −$5 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $73 −$11 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$24 +426%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $48 −$6 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$11 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$11 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$10 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$10 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$10 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$17 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $34 +$7 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$24 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$18 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$15 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$9 -24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$522
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $14 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $14 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $8 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $16 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $27 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $12 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $19 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $14 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $13 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $28 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $25 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $13 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $18 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $6 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $9 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $9 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $13 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $28 35m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 870 -0.9% -10.4% 49% 45% -7.2%
≤30d 870 -0.9% -10.4% 49% 45% -7.2%
≤90d 870 -0.9% -10.4% 49% 45% -7.2%
all 870 -0.9% -10.4% 49% 45% -7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover744.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 45% -7.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 39% -16.0%
15% -26.8% 33% -24.2%
20% -34.0% 27% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $60.96 · official $75.47 · 3500 history records