Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T02:19:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
CF 0xcf97…d151 crypto 71 markets active 1h ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (80 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$65 (+4%) realized +$65 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR39%break-even
Win rate41%29W / 42L
Drawdown66%max
Avg bet$23per market
Trades / day79.7pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$264
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (80 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-4.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 +5.6% -4.5% 41% 39% +4.8%
≤30d 71 +5.6% -4.5% 41% 39% +4.8%
≤90d 71 +5.6% -4.5% 41% 39% +4.8%
all 71 +5.6% -4.5% 41% 39% +4.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover79.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.5% 39% +4.8%
10% ← realistic here -13.6% 38% -5.2%
15% -21.9% 30% -14.4%
20% -29.6% 23% -22.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 16% · top 2 29% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +16% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +6% · $-wt +16% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -12% → late +23% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$30 vs −$14 · ×2.09 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.44 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$65
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses29 / 42
Open positions0
Markets (closed)71 / 71
History coverage3d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day79.7
Drawdown66%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 71 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 28 $235 +$115 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 28 $46 +$52 +113%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 28 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 28 $55 +$21 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 28 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 28 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 28 $66 −$20 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 28 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 27 $74 +$61 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 27 $18 +$135 +738%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 27 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 27 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 27 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 27 $14 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 27 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 27 $51 −$51 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 27 $36 −$36 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 27 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 27 $5 +$19 +423%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 27 $99 +$78 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 27 $9 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 27 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 27 $9 +$23 +249%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 27 $17 +$85 +492%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 27 $9 +$31 +339%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 27 $34 −$26 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 27 $40 +$16 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 27 $14 +$10 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 27 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 27 $23 −$21 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 27 $28 −$21 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 27 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 27 $28 +$11 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 27 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 27 $12 +$30 +255%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 27 $87 +$55 +63%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 27 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 27 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 27 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 27 $37 −$18 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 27 $32 +$11 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 27 $18 −$18 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $46 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $18 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $18 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $18 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $47 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $9 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 268 history records