Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:09:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CF
0xcf95…fead
crypto · 4 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$102 -40%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$93 · open −$23
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$100
Realized−$93
Unrealized−$23
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 2
Open positions2
Markets (closed)2 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$65
Trades / day8.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$93
7 days−$93
14 days−$93
30 days−$93
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15? Up 46¢ 40¢ $97 $86 −$12 (-12%)
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 14? Yes 8¢ 4¢ $26 $14 −$12 (-46%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $67 −$65 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $63 −$29 -45%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$117
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 46¢ $101 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 3h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 8¢ $25 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 3¢ $34 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $35 14h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 3¢ $32 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $63 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-74.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -71.4% -74.1% 0% 0% -74.7%
≤30d 2 -71.4% -74.1% 0% 0% -74.7%
≤90d 2 -71.4% -74.1% 0% 0% -74.7%
all 2 -71.4% -74.1% 0% 0% -74.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -74.1% 0% -74.7%
10% -76.6% 0% -77.1%
15% -78.8% 0% -79.3%
20% -80.9% 0% -81.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $99.74 · official $99.74 (match) · 8 history records