trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | +172.1% | +146.1% | 80% | 80% | +98.0% |
| ≤30d | 16 | +87.0% | +69.2% | 56% | 56% | +18.1% |
| ≤90d | 25 | +48.4% | +34.3% | 52% | 48% | -0.1% |
| all | 25 | +48.4% | +34.3% | 52% | 48% | -0.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +34.3% | 48% | -0.1% |
| 10% | +21.4% | 44% | -9.6% |
| 15% | +9.7% | 40% | -18.4% |
| 20% | -1.1% | 36% | -26.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $70 | $72 | +$2 (+3%) |
| Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 1.5 | Under | 51¢ | 99¢ | $25 | $49 | +$24 (+94%) |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Yes | 31¢ | 88¢ | $15 | $42 | +$27 (+182%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 12¢ | $25 | $33 | +$8 (+33%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $30 | $25 | −$5 (-16%) |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $15 | $15 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Yes | 20¢ | 20¢ | $15 | $15 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 1 Morocco? | Yes | 13¢ | 12¢ | $6 | $6 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 3¢ | $3 | $3 | +$0 (+6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 17 | $91 | +$32 | +35% |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Croatia? | Jun 17 | $7 | +$22 | +299% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$11 | +103% |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia? | Jun 17 | $13 | −$13 | -97% |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Jun 17 | $30 | +$36 | +119% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $36 | +$59 | +165% |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $15 | +$151 | +980% |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First Half | Jun 15 | $30 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-1 | Jun 13 | $51 | +$89 | +176% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $26 | +$11 | +44% |
| Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer | May 30 | $41 | +$70 | +172% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $214 | −$210 | -98% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5 | May 30 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 3 Arsenal FC? | May 30 | $4 | −$4 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC? | May 30 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC? | May 30 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | May 16 | $208 | −$203 | -97% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election | May 16 | $71 | −$20 | -28% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | May 14 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13? | May 13 | $163 | +$175 | +108% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | May 12 | $25 | +$2 | +7% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12? | May 12 | $96 | +$113 | +117% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | May 12 | $47 | −$45 | -95% |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | May 12 | $29 | −$28 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | May 12 | $202 | +$28 | +14% |