trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -68.7% | -71.7% | 14% | 14% | -50.4% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +258.8% | +224.6% | 33% | 33% | -33.7% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +258.8% | +224.6% | 33% | 33% | -33.7% |
| all | 12 | +258.8% | +224.6% | 33% | 33% | -33.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +224.6% | 33% | -33.7% |
| 10% | +193.6% | 33% | -40.1% |
| 15% | +165.2% | 33% | -45.9% |
| 20% | +139.2% | 33% | -51.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 62¢ | 62¢ | $300 | $299 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $100 | $100 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 56¢ | 56¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 40¢ | 40¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 19¢ | 19¢ | $80 | $80 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $40 | $38 | −$2 (-6%) |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 25¢ | 24¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 3¢ | $10 | $15 | +$5 (+48%) |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $137 | −$135 | -98% |
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $31 | −$28 | -90% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $232 | +$157 | +67% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 19 | $141 | −$141 | -100% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 19 | $104 | −$60 | -58% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 19 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $51 | +$30 | +60% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? AND Will Belgium vs. Egyp | Jun 16 | $3 | +$48 | +1548% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? AND Will Spain vs. Cabo V | Jun 16 | $1 | +$99 | +9659% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $101 | −$21 | -20% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $102 | −$1 | -1% |