Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:05:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CF
0xcf7d…a286
sports · 45 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$866 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$583 · open −$100
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$94
Realized−$583
Unrealized−$100
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses11 / 31
Est. fees paid−$33
Open positions2
Markets (closed)42 / 45
History coverage12d
Avg bet$148
Trades / day19.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 2 History 42 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$717
14 days−$583
30 days−$583
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $139 $93 −$46 (-33%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Over 41¢ 0¢ $55 $1 −$55 (-99%)
Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs Zverev Jodar 46¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs Zverev Mensik 42¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) Spurs 35¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner Pipsqueak+4 40¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 18¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BetBoom Team 33¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs Natus Vincere 11¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Dota 2: TeamDk vs Amaru Gaming - Game 1 Winner TeamDk 38¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs Fonseca Fonseca 20¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Dota 2: Enjoy vs L1ga Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs Enjoy 60¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $113 −$10 -9%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $39 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$19 +96%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $54 +$78 +146%
Israel closes its airspace by June 11? Jun 11 $299 −$245 -82%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $36 −$35 -98%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 11 $1,933 −$307 -16%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? Jun 10 $758 −$199 -26%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 10 $270 +$119 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$16 +490%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 09 $23 −$22 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 08 $39 −$37 -96%
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 08 $39 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 08 $10 −$10 -97%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June? Jun 08 $273 −$24 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 07 $10 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -94%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $26 −$24 -93%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $28 −$23 -81%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $30 −$29 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) Jun 05 $31 −$31 -98%
Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs Zverev Jun 05 $21 −$21 -98%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $274 +$159 +58%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $29 −$24 -81%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $38 +$57 +149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 03 $4 −$4 -100%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $29 −$23 -80%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider Jun 03 $161 +$213 +133%
Dota 2: Enjoy vs L1ga Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Cl Jun 03 $47 −$46 -99%
Dota 2: Enjoy vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $24 +$22 +92%
Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs Fonseca Jun 02 $18 −$18 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 02 $8 −$7 -94%
Dota 2: TeamDk vs Amaru Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 02 $25 −$16 -64%
Dota 2: TeamDk vs Amaru Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 02 $24 −$24 -100%
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Wester Jun 02 $25 −$25 -97%
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner Jun 02 $36 −$35 -98%
Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs Zverev Jun 02 $107 −$31 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 02 $7 +$24 +321%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Jun 02 $81 +$47 +58%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk Jun 02 $33 −$3 -10%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner Jun 02 $115 −$63 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 02 $19 +$14 +74%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 55% −$598
sports 25% +$167
finance 15% −$223
other 2% −$10
crypto 2% −$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $56 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 22¢ $50 9h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY Yes 1¢ $18 42h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 42h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 43h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 43h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 43h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 43h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 43h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY Yes 1¢ $9 43h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY Yes 1¢ $105 43h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY Yes 1¢ $3 43h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 43h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 20¢ $102 43h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 42¢ $36 43h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $39 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2d
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $113 2d
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $20 2d
Israel closes its airspace by June 11? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 2d
Israel closes its airspace by June 11? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 2d
Israel closes its airspace by June 11? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 2d
Israel closes its airspace by June 11? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 2d
Israel closes its airspace by June 11? SELL Yes 1¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-23.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -7.7% -16.5% 21% 21% -25.9%
≤30d 42 -15.5% -23.6% 26% 26% -19.9%
≤90d 42 -15.5% -23.6% 26% 26% -19.9%
all 42 -15.5% -23.6% 26% 26% -19.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.6% 26% -19.9%
10% -30.9% 26% -27.6%
15% -37.6% 26% -34.6%
20% -43.7% 24% -41.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $93.51 · official $62.56 · 240 history records