Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CF
0xcf76…f6e2
crypto · 52 markets active 6h ago
0.0score
−$418 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$418 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$418
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses29 / 23
Open positions0
Markets (closed)52 / 52
History coverage73d
Avg bet$214
Trades / day45.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 52 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days−$21
14 days−$21
30 days−$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $136 −$15 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $53 −$2 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $129 +$3 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $35 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$6 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $132 +$1 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $48 +$7 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $87 +$25 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$6 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$4 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$6 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $126 −$11 -9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $27 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $65 −$6 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $162 −$27 -16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $38 −$6 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Mar 31 $61 +$2 +3%
Solana Up or Down - March 31, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Mar 31 $66 +$2 +3%
Solana Up or Down - March 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Mar 31 $474 −$448 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Mar 31 $268 −$182 -68%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Mar 31 $393 −$73 -18%
Solana Up or Down - March 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Mar 31 $430 −$54 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Mar 31 $217 +$70 +32%
Solana Up or Down - March 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Mar 31 $305 +$52 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Mar 31 $281 −$31 -11%
Solana Up or Down - March 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Mar 31 $269 −$16 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Mar 31 $133 +$38 +28%
Solana Up or Down - March 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Mar 31 $198 +$64 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Mar 31 $131 +$28 +21%
Solana Up or Down - March 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Mar 31 $154 +$39 +25%
Solana Up or Down - March 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Mar 31 $455 −$176 -39%
Solana Up or Down - March 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Mar 31 $275 +$23 +8%
Solana Up or Down - March 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Mar 31 $244 +$59 +24%
Solana Up or Down - March 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Mar 31 $262 +$60 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Mar 31 $169 +$64 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Mar 31 $374 −$110 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Mar 31 $450 −$91 -20%
Solana Up or Down - March 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Mar 31 $465 −$94 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Mar 31 $304 +$79 +26%
Solana Up or Down - March 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Mar 31 $425 −$41 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Mar 31 $429 −$43 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Mar 31 $451 −$55 -12%
Solana Up or Down - March 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Mar 31 $356 +$99 +28%
Solana Up or Down - March 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Mar 31 $451 +$25 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Mar 31 $372 +$127 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Mar 31 $476 +$50 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$418
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $20 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $7 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 -2.7% -11.9% 50% 35% -11.0%
≤30d 20 -2.7% -11.9% 50% 35% -11.0%
≤90d 52 -0.1% -9.6% 56% 38% -12.9%
all 52 -0.1% -9.6% 56% 38% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover45.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 38% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 25% -21.3%
15% -26.2% 2% -28.9%
20% -33.4% 0% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records