Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:05:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CF
0xcf75…cd85
sports · 238 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
−$932 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$837 · open −$94
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$512
Realized−$837
Unrealized−$94
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses103 / 118
Whale WR (big bets)43%
Est. fees paid−$101
Open positions15
Markets (closed)221 / 238
History coverage18d
Avg bet$84
Trades / day40.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 15 History 221 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$18
7 days−$81
14 days−$658
30 days−$837
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo Messi 61¢ 62¢ $181 $183 +$1 (+1%)
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June? Yes 82¢ 36¢ $168 $73 −$95 (-56%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 58¢ $60 $61 +$1 (+1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Over 73¢ 74¢ $45 $45 +$0 (+1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 64¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score No 67¢ 68¢ $21 $21 +$0 (+1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 46¢ 44¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-3%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-6%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-10%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Yes 15¢ 13¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-13%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Türkiye? Yes 8¢ 6¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-19%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? Yes 10¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-20%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Team WE 22¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $15 −$14 -92%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $14 −$14 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $17 +$26 +152%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $31 +$50 +163%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $16 +$5 +30%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $51 +$29 +58%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 AND Will United States win on 2026 Jun 13 $10 +$23 +228%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $5 +$2 +41%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $25 +$12 +48%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $1 $0 -5%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $26 −$1 -4%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $30 −$13 -43%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States Jun 12 $15 −$13 -82%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $22 −$15 -69%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $25 +$21 +81%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $24 +$7 +27%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $10 +$4 +41%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $51 −$33 -65%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $5 +$2 +43%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $5 +$2 +32%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $5 $0 -7%
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? Jun 12 $20 −$1 -5%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $41 −$2 -4%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 0 Czechia? Jun 11 $5 −$1 -29%
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? Jun 11 $51 −$10 -20%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $50 +$22 +43%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $10 −$1 -6%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +38%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Spain vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $27 $0 +0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? Jun 11 $937 −$9 -1%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Mali win on 2026-06-04? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 11 $13 −$13 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 32% +$16
sports 28% −$524
other 19% −$363
tech 11% −$28
world 5% −$32
finance 4% +$34
crypto 1% −$35
weather 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo BUY Messi 61¢ $103 3h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Team WE 2¢ $1 4h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 25¢ $15 4h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 22¢ $14 5h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 5h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 5h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 5h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Team WE 100¢ $44 5h
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo BUY Messi 61¢ $78 6h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 39¢ $17 6h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 100¢ $80 6h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 37¢ $25 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 39¢ $5 7h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $51 7h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 37¢ $20 8h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $30 9h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster 51¢ $20 10h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 11h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 11h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 11h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 11h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Türkiye? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 11h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 73¢ $45 11h
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo SELL Messi 63¢ $3 11h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $30 11h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $30 12h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $20 12h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY 61¢ $20 12h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $20 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-16.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 107 -11.8% -20.2% 47% 39% -10.9%
≤30d 221 -7.8% -16.6% 47% 37% -13.4%
≤90d 221 -7.8% -16.6% 47% 37% -13.4%
all 221 -7.8% -16.6% 47% 37% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover40.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.6% 37% -13.4%
10% ← realistic here -24.6% 28% -21.7%
15% -31.9% 18% -29.3%
20% -38.5% 11% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $512.09 · official $537.09 · 806 history records