Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:03:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CF
0xcf73…0215
sports · 259 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$64,769 -37%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$10,597 · open +$103
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$51,143
Realized+$10,597
Unrealized+$103
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses51 / 49
Whale WR (big bets)88%
Est. fees paid−$1,186
Open positions330
Markets (closed)100 / 259
History coverage1d
Avg bet$672
Trades / day3179.0
Drawdown33%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 330 History 100 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10,597
7 days+$10,597
14 days+$10,597
30 days+$10,597
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 52¢ 54¢ $1,312 $1,337 +$25 (+2%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? No 81¢ 81¢ $1,256 $1,258 +$2 (+0%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 84¢ $1,188 $1,195 +$7 (+1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? No 74¢ 74¢ $1,161 $1,169 +$8 (+1%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 78¢ 80¢ $1,111 $1,142 +$31 (+3%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? No 60¢ 60¢ $1,048 $1,056 +$9 (+1%)
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? No 81¢ 81¢ $1,022 $1,029 +$6 (+1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 58¢ 56¢ $1,035 $1,004 −$31 (-3%)
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? No 73¢ 72¢ $944 $943 −$2 (-0%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 91¢ 91¢ $911 $913 +$2 (+0%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 89¢ 90¢ $894 $896 +$2 (+0%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? No 73¢ 74¢ $865 $870 +$6 (+1%)
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? No 93¢ 94¢ $836 $840 +$4 (+1%)
Spread: United States (-2.5) Paraguay 92¢ 92¢ $811 $816 +$4 (+1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Under 79¢ 80¢ $782 $787 +$5 (+1%)
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? Yes 73¢ 74¢ $750 $755 +$5 (+1%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 66¢ 66¢ $739 $740 +$1 (+0%)
Spread: Canada (-2.5) Bosnia and Herzegovina 89¢ 90¢ $687 $691 +$4 (+1%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? No 88¢ 88¢ $660 $664 +$4 (+1%)
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? No 79¢ 80¢ $626 $630 +$4 (+1%)
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? No 90¢ 90¢ $607 $610 +$4 (+1%)
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? No 72¢ 72¢ $585 $589 +$4 (+1%)
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 77¢ 78¢ $578 $589 +$11 (+2%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? No 88¢ 88¢ $572 $575 +$3 (+1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Under 57¢ 57¢ $567 $572 +$5 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-02? Jun 12 $12 +$5 +41%
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03? Jun 12 $9 −$13 -139%
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-02? Jun 12 $2 +$41 +2024%
Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-05-02? Jun 12 $6 +$5 +83%
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-05-02? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +64%
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-03? Jun 12 $1 +$17 +2491%
Will FC Utrecht vs. NAC Breda end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$65 -8516%
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 −$144 -24542%
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $0 +$99 +21070%
Will NAC Breda win on 2026-05-02? Jun 12 $1 −$45 -5736%
Como 1907 vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $0 +$15 +3331%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03? Jun 12 $0 −$63 -13868%
AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $0 +$78 +23540%
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $0 +$99 +54123%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Jun 12 $0 +$101 +29493%
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Independiente end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 −$39 -7904%
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-03-07? Jun 12 $1 −$93 -17168%
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$116 -20376%
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $0 +$9 +2630%
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $0 +$23 +7112%
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $0 −$159 -32807%
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5 Jun 12 $0 −$114 -31452%
Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +56%
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? Jun 12 $0 −$294 -78417%
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-10? Jun 12 $0 +$137 +59936%
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $0 −$49 -16686%
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-23? Jun 12 $0 −$275 -68501%
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-03? Jun 12 $0 −$41 -12863%
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $0 −$58 -20296%
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-03-08? Jun 12 $0 +$240 +149843%
Will CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 $0 +32%
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $0 $0 +49%
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 −$95 -68062%
Will CA Belgrano vs. CA Sarmiento end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 $0 +125%
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-02? Jun 12 $0 −$18 -24645%
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-05-08? Jun 12 $1 +$73 +6308%
Will US Lecce vs. Juventus FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $90 −$90 -100%
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $5 −$4 -84%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $2 +$608 +32313%
Will Georgia win on 2026-03-26? Jun 12 $0 −$21 -6856%
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $46 +$133 +291%
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $85 −$85 -100%
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $106 +$335 +315%
AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
PSV vs. FC Twente '65: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $2 −$2 -72%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruud Jun 12 $0 −$589 -186533%
CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $7 −$6 -96%
Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will AA Ponte Preta vs. Botafogo FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $107 −$107 -100%
Will Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $8 −$122 -1620%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 54% +$7,266
other 45% +$3,058
crypto 1% +$1
world 0% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 60¢ $15 0m
Spread: Spurs (-16.5) BUY Spurs 17¢ $1 0m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 45¢ $85 1m
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 76¢ $3 2m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Iva Jovic 42¢ $259 4m
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 29¢ $2 4m
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 29¢ $4 4m
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? BUY No 41¢ $3 7m
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 29¢ $1 7m
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? BUY No 82¢ $3 7m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? BUY No 26¢ $2 7m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $4 7m
Spread: Knicks (-10.5) BUY Spurs 85¢ $14 7m
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5) BUY United States 92¢ $16 7m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 24¢ $6 7m
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 59¢ $15 7m
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23? BUY Yes 7¢ $2 7m
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) BUY DR Congo 48¢ $15 7m
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? BUY No 71¢ $20 7m
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 38¢ $15 7m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 BUY Over 49¢ $24 7m
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? BUY No 83¢ $13 7m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 40¢ $21 7m
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 81¢ $50 7m
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) BUY Brazil 95¢ $155 7m
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) BUY Knicks 64¢ $60 7m
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 26¢ $42 7m
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 7m
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 5¢ $0 7m
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 5¢ $0 7m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)+345.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 100 +392.7% +345.8% 51% 49% +18.6%
≤30d 100 +392.7% +345.8% 51% 49% +18.6%
≤90d 100 +392.7% +345.8% 51% 49% +18.6%
all 100 +392.7% +345.8% 51% 49% +18.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3179.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +345.8% 49% +18.6%
10% ← realistic here +303.1% 45% +7.2%
15% +264.2% 40% -3.1%
20% +228.5% 37% -12.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $51,143.25 · official $51,124.44 (match) · 3500 history records