Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T09:49:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
CF 0xcf63…9104 crypto 3 markets active 2h ago coverage 2d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ bot/MM pace (53 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$7 (-0%) realized −$7 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 2L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1,821per market
Trades / day52.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$4
world 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -1.0% -10.4% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 2 -1.0% -10.4% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 2 -1.0% -10.4% 0% 0% -9.7%
all 2 -1.0% -10.4% 0% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover52.6 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 0% -9.7%
10% -19.0% 0% -18.3%
15% ← realistic here -26.8% 0% -26.2%
20% -34.0% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
19.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
— vs −$2 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)2 / 3
History coverage2d
Avg bet$1,821
Trades / day52.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 2 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? Yes 98¢ 98¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? Jun 18 $53 −$1 -2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $2,755 −$4 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 98¢ $38 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 98¢ $38 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 98¢ $101 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 98¢ $101 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 98¢ $101 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 98¢ $101 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 98¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 98¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 98¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 98¢ $101 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 98¢ $101 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 98¢ $101 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 98¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 98¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 98¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 98¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 98¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 98¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 98¢ $100 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 98¢ $100 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 98¢ $100 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 98¢ $100 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 98¢ $101 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 98¢ $101 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 98¢ $101 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 98¢ $101 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 98¢ $101 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 98¢ $101 2h
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? SELL Yes 79¢ $52 2h
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? BUY Yes 80¢ $53 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.17 · official $0.00 (match) · 114 history records