Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T10:08:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
CF 0xcf52…9fcf crypto 462 markets active 5d ago coverage 4d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (162 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$118 (+3%) realized +$118 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR56%break-even
Win rate67%309W / 153L
Drawdown92%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day162.0pace
Kalshi-fit95%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 93% +$19
other 7% +$62
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (162 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 461 -2.7% -12.0% 67% 56% -7.4%
≤30d 462 -2.9% -12.2% 67% 56% -7.5%
≤90d 462 -2.9% -12.2% 67% 56% -7.5%
all 462 -2.9% -12.2% 67% 56% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover162.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 56% -7.5%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 48% -16.4%
15% -28.3% 33% -24.5%
20% -35.3% 21% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
14% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt +2% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -8% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$6 · ×0.54 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.08 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$118
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses309 / 153
Open positions0
Markets (closed)462 / 462
History coverage4d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day162.0
Drawdown92%
Kalshi-fit95%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 462 Trades
no open positions (151 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +28%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +124%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +48%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +36%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +33%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +33%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +70%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +68%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +57%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +38%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +86%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +28%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 5d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 906 history records