trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 18% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 27 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 7% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 27 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 7% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 26? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $48 | $48 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 25? | Jun 25 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 24? | Jun 24 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 19 | $937 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 17 | $2,882 | −$4 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 14 | $940 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 12 | $940 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 09 | $941 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 04 | $940 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 02 | $1,888 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 31 | $948 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 28 | $1,738 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 24 | $951 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 22 | $950 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 20 | $1,917 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 18 | $955 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 16 | $954 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 14 | $958 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina | May 12 | $955 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 10 | $960 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 08 | $958 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 06 | $962 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 28 | $973 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee | Apr 26 | $973 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 24 | $974 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 22 | $975 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 20 | $976 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 m | Apr 18 | $977 | −$1 | -0% |