Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:48:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CF
0xcf45…86b4
crypto · 788 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$395 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$395 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$395
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses610 / 200
Open positions0
Markets (closed)810 / 788
History coverage37d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day23.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 810 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$209
7 days−$226
14 days−$237
30 days−$253
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$8 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$8 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$20 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$170
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-13.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 -1.3% -10.7% 76% 53% -9.7%
≤30d 211 -1.3% -10.7% 77% 52% -10.4%
≤90d 810 -3.9% -13.1% 75% 50% -11.8%
all 810 -3.9% -13.1% 75% 50% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.1% 50% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -21.4% 36% -20.3%
15% -29.0% 24% -28.0%
20% -35.9% 16% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records