trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | -3.3% | -12.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -3.3% | -12.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -3.3% | -12.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 20 | -2.8% | -12.1% | 5% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.1% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -20.5% | 0% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -28.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -35.2% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $218 | $218 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | $15 | $15 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 28 | $171 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 28 | $418 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 27 | $1 | $0 | -19% |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 27 | $419 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 27 | $161 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 27 | $570 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 27 | $629 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 26 | $349 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 26 | $399 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 26 | $1,014 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 25 | $2 | $0 | -19% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 25 | $210 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 25 | $159 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 24 | $396 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 24 | $179 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 23 | $428 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 23 | $367 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $2 | $0 | -17% |
| Will a US ally get a nuke in 2025? | Dec 17 | $19 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Oct 20 | $49 | $0 | -0% |