Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:36:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CF
0xcf36…0dbb
crypto · 91 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$9 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses67 / 24
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)91 / 91
History coverage3d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day89.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 91 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19
7 days−$9
14 days−$9
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$4 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$11 +174%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$13 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$26 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$10 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$4 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$3 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$4 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$6
sports 2% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $4 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 91 -0.5% -10.0% 74% 49% -10.9%
≤30d 91 -0.5% -10.0% 74% 49% -10.9%
≤90d 91 -0.5% -10.0% 74% 49% -10.9%
all 91 -0.5% -10.0% 74% 49% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover89.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 49% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 29% -19.4%
15% -26.5% 13% -27.2%
20% -33.7% 7% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 334 history records