Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:42:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CF
0xcf32…357a
crypto · 1749 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$341 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$336 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$336
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses1333 / 611
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1944 / 1749
History coverage8d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day259.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1944 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$636
7 days−$396
14 days−$336
30 days−$336
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 88¢ 68¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-23%)
Will Maya Joint win the 2026 Women’s French Open? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$395
other 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1743 -8.6% -17.3% 67% 59% -17.1%
≤30d 1944 -5.7% -14.6% 69% 61% -14.9%
≤90d 1944 -5.7% -14.6% 69% 61% -14.9%
all 1944 -5.7% -14.6% 69% 61% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover259.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 61% -14.9%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 47% -23.0%
15% -30.3% 32% -30.5%
20% -37.1% 16% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.54 · official $1.31 (match) · 3500 history records