Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:35:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

CF
0xcf10…266f
sports · 49 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$3 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$6
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses19 / 26
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions4
Markets (closed)45 / 49
History coverage10d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day43.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 4 History 45 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days+$2
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? No 94¢ 94¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? No 91¢ 93¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+2%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) Gen.G 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Under 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $9 −$6 -69%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $14 +$7 +52%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Solana reach $70 on June 13? Jun 14 $2 $0 -11%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$2 -75%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $12 +$4 +30%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 13 $3 +$2 +75%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $3 +$3 +107%
Will Solana reach $70 on June 12? Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Will XRP reach $1.40 in June? Jun 10 $9 −$1 -13%
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $3 +$1 +40%
Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on June 8? Jun 08 $2 $0 -2%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 8? Jun 08 $2 $0 -2%
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 8? Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5) Jun 08 $3 +$6 +203%
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $2 $0 -3%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 7? Jun 08 $2 $0 -1%
Will Solana reach $70 on June 7? Jun 08 $2 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 7? Jun 08 $4 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 5? Jun 08 $2 $0 -5%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $12 −$5 -38%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $9 −$6 -70%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $6 +$1 +22%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $9 +$6 +65%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $3 $0 -7%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $3 +$2 +72%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $9 +$3 +34%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $3 $0 -0%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $3 +$1 +24%
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 7? Jun 07 $2 $0 -22%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $3 +$4 +132%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $3 +$2 +50%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? Jun 07 $2 $0 +1%
Will Solana dip to $50 June 1-7? Jun 07 $2 $0 -2%
Will Solana dip to $55 on June 6? Jun 07 $2 $0 -1%
Will Solana dip to $50 on June 5? Jun 06 $6 $0 -4%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffs Jun 05 $3 $0 -6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7? Jun 05 $6 −$1 -9%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 5? Jun 05 $19 −$19 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $2 $0 +4%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $12 +$12 +99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 48% +$12
crypto 37% −$5
other 8% −$1
weather 7% −$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 93¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 93¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 93¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 93¢ $0 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 3¢ $0 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 49¢ $3 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 48¢ $3 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 59¢ $3 3h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 29¢ $3 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 61¢ $3 3h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) BUY Gen.G 22¢ $3 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 93¢ $0 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 93¢ $0 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 93¢ $0 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 93¢ $0 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 93¢ $0 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 93¢ $0 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 93¢ $0 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 93¢ $0 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 93¢ $0 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 93¢ $0 3h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 55¢ $2 4h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 55¢ $2 4h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 55¢ $2 4h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $7 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 23¢ $2 4h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $2 4h
Will Solana reach $70 on June 13? SELL No 81¢ $0 9h
Will Solana reach $70 on June 13? SELL No 88¢ $0 11h
Will Solana reach $70 on June 13? SELL No 88¢ $0 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-7.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 +2.8% -6.9% 44% 39% -8.6%
≤30d 45 +1.9% -7.8% 42% 33% -12.0%
≤90d 45 +1.9% -7.8% 42% 33% -12.0%
all 45 +1.9% -7.8% 42% 33% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.8% 33% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -16.7% 31% -20.4%
15% -24.7% 22% -28.1%
20% -32.1% 20% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.29 · official $9.30 (match) · 452 history records