trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 2 | +44.3% | +30.5% | 50% | 50% | -8.6% |
| all | 24 | -38.3% | -44.2% | 17% | 12% | -20.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -44.2% | 12% | -20.7% |
| 10% | -49.5% | 12% | -28.3% |
| 15% | -54.4% | 12% | -35.2% |
| 20% | -58.9% | 12% | -41.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $498 | $498 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $450 | $450 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 61¢ | 96¢ | $69 | $108 | +$39 (+57%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 26 | $926 | −$1 | -0% |
| Knicks vs. Heat | Apr 06 | $12 | +$11 | +89% |
| Kings vs. Capitals | Nov 17 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Canadiens vs. Blue Jackets | Nov 17 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Commanders vs. Dolphins | Nov 17 | $13 | +$9 | +72% |
| Islanders vs. Utah | Nov 14 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Bears vs. Vikings | Nov 14 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Blue Jackets vs. Oilers | Nov 10 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Liberty vs. Mercury | Sep 14 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Jul 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Waldemar Witkowski be the next President of Poland? | Jul 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Solana reach $220 in June? | Jul 15 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL? | May 19 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in May? | May 19 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 15 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | May 15 | $6 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025? | May 08 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 30 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 27 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Grizzlies vs. Rockets | Jan 14 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Canucks vs. Hurricanes | Jan 13 | $136 | +$99 | +72% |
| Rockets vs. Grizzlies | Jan 10 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Will Nicolae Ciucă win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | Jan 09 | $2 | −$1 | -50% |
| Who will speak more at VP Debate? | Oct 02 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |